Atlanta, two games back in the NL Wild Card race, badly needed a win in Arlington last Friday.
And badly needed a win Saturday.
And badly needed a win Sunday.
Oakland, in the midst of a colossal, spiraling plummet, badly needed a win in its own building against Texas on Tuesday.
And badly needed a win Wednesday.
And badly needed a win Thursday.
They both needed wins far more, practically speaking, than the Texas Rangers did but they failed, all six times, against a Rangers team that some diehard fans, inspired by draft position and associated lagniappe, have been hoping would lose every game left on the schedule.
(Not me, by the way — I’m just pulling for Rockies and Diamondbacks wins . . . and series splits when they play each other, as they are right now. The Rangers’ tragic number: nine, and counting.)
How slim were the odds of the Rangers sweeping either the Atlanta or Oakland series, let alone both? Ridiculously slim — in fact, the great Jeff Sullivan of FanGraphs called the sweep of the Braves the third-most unlikely series outcome of the entire 2014 MLB season (2.766 percent likelihood) . . . and the sweep of the A’s the first-most unlikely series result all year (2.087 percent).
As Sullivan put it, “the A’s didn’t just get swept — the A’s got embarrassed, by a full roster with half the talent. . . . [I]nexcusable.”
In none of those six games, by the way, did more Texas players appear who started the season on the big league roster than those who didn’t. In the Braves series finale, for example, six Rangers from the Opening Day roster appeared, along with three players who began the year in AAA (including one with San Diego’s AAA club), four who started the year in AA, and one who was in High Class A. Appearing for Texas in the A’s finale: five Opening Day big leaguers, three AAA players (including one with Kansas City’s top farm club), and six AA players.
Hanging in there and pulling for this Rangers roster isn’t quite like watching Jackie Davidson and Johnny Monell on the Replacement Rangers in the spring of 1995. Or Kevin Sweeney and Cornell Burbage leading the Replacement Cowboys in 1987. Or Ralph Drollinger leaving Athletes in Action to suit up for the expansion Mavericks.
But there are minor league free agents getting regular playing time for Texas right now, and you can probably imagine what a gut punch it must be to be a fan of the Braves or A’s right now, let alone of their players, coming off three days each of abject failure against this going-nowhere team, when every game meant just about everything to them.
Oakland corner bat Brandon Moss, who is hitting a remarkably anemic .179/.303/.282 in 185 second-half trips to the plate, said after his team’s series-ender against the Rangers: “When you’re in a race, it’s supposed to be fun. But I don’t see anyone in this clubhouse having any fun. Because it’s not.”
I completely disagree. This has been a blast.
And, considering that this is a team relegated to the unwanted role of spoiler and in line to land draft pick 1.1 — for the first time since 1973, very strange to watch.
I can’t begin to imagine how much more exponentially strange it is for Ron Washington to watch, from a couch rather than the top step.
Even as little as a month ago, if I’d asked you to identify which AL West team had locked up 162+ by now, which two were fighting for a playoff position (perhaps the final one), and which two were looking for a manager, there’s basically zero chance you would have gotten more than two of the five right. What a weird season.
I’m enjoying Oakland’s developing and potentially epic collapse (#addisonrussell) immensely. Unbecoming (the accusation a couple years ago was “gauche”), maybe, but unapologetically so, because sports.
And because we as Rangers deserve a little fired-up in 2014, wherever we can find it, after the season-long fusillade of gut-punches we’ve had to endure.
None of us is going to look kindly back on 2014 as Rangers fans, even if the way it has played out could end up leading to a franchise-altering draft and the Dawn of Odor and perhaps an opportunity to go forward with a field manager that the organization wouldn’t have had the chance to entrust Game Day to had it not been for perhaps the most unbelievable turn of events in a season full of them.
But, strange as it probably seems, I bet lots of us are enjoying baseball right now more than a whole lot of Atlanta Braves and Oakland A’s fans are, and not just because even the losses these days — remember those? — come with a highly unfamiliar silver lining.
Tonight the Rangers kick off their third and final series in Oakland for the season. In the last one, Texas took the June 16 opener, 14-8 — putting up its biggest run total of the season — before embarking on an eight-game losing streak (which would extend to 22 losses in 25 brutal games) by dropping the final two against the A’s.
In the clubs’ first series in O.co this year, Texas won the first two games by a run each, and took the finale, 3-0, behind a Martin Perez complete-game shutout on April 23, which for obvious reasons feels like about two years ago.
That early-season series happened to have been the only Rangers sweep of 2015 until they took care of the Braves in Arlington over the weekend.
There’s late night baseball the next two nights, followed by a getaway afternoon tilt on Thursday, and while Texas will go to battle with a turbo-decimated roster marked by an absurd number of rookies, it’s the other team that’s in a really bad way.
Just five weeks ago, on August 9, the A’s owned baseball’s best record (72-44) by a full four games, leading the West by the same margin because it was the Angels who boasted MLB’s second-best mark. Since then, Oakland has the worst record in the game at 11-22 (Texas is 12-21 over the same stretch), while Los Angeles’s 26-8 tear has it on the brink of clinching the division title.
Oakland is now a game ahead of Kansas City for home field in the Wild Card Game — but only three games ahead of Seattle (imagine if the Mariners hadn’t just lost three straight) in its effort to avoid missing the playoffs altogether.
The Rangers have a chance to make things meaningfully worse for the A’s this week, just as they did for Atlanta over the weekend.
The silver lining, of course, is that any loss to Oakland takes Texas closer to securing the 1.1 pick in June and all those other goodies, though this three-game win streak in combination with the Rockies’ current seven-game skid has Colorado just 1.5 games back in that backpedal chase. Arizona had briefly caught the Rockies before going on its own win streak these last three days, but there’s now 4.5 games of distance between the Rangers and Diamondbacks.
Speaking of Colorado and Arizona, Jon Heyman (CBS Sports) was the first to report that Rangers Assistant GM Thad Levine is on the Diamondbacks’ list of 10 candidates for their vacant GM position, while Ken Rosenthal (Fox Sports) speculates that if the Rockies dismiss GM Dan O’Dowd, Levine could be a candidate there as well, as he worked in Colorado’s front office for six seasons before Jon Daniels brought him to Texas.
But that’s not what brought me to my keyboard this morning. Buster Olney (ESPN) published a story on Saturday titled “Oakland’s collapse could be worst ever,” and I enjoyed that a lot before even reading the article, especially because I’d just read a chat that Olney’s ESPN colleague Keith Law conducted that included this exchange:
Q: How many hitters in minors have a future 70 hit tool, [and] is J.P. Crawford one?
A: I wouldn’t put that on many prospects. Addison Russell would be one. Crawford . . . I’d feel more comfortable at 60 or even 65. 70 is pretty rare.
Yes it is.
And Russell, like Yoenis Cespedes and Billy McKinney, belongs to someone other than Oakland going forward. Which is awesome.
Maybe you think the schadenfreude is a little unbecoming and a lot pot/kettlesque given where the Rangers’ season has gone, but 2014 is what it is for Texas, and you can recover from injuries.
Recovering from Cespedes (and a premium draft pick) for impending free agent Jon Lester, and Russell/McKinney/Dan Straily for Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel? The A’s have a chance over the next two weeks to make sure their season doesn’t have a devastating “worst collapse ever” result, before salvaging things when they trade Samardzija this winter (or I guess possibly next summer) to start to restock a turbo-decimated farm system.
And Texas has a chance, late tonight and late tomorrow night and Thursday afternoon, to make things even more difficult on the A’s, a position that I hate the Rangers find themselves in, but we are where we are, at least for 2014, and I’m not a bit above looking forward to this opportunity to keep knocking the Oakland kettle off the stove . . . not that I won’t be keeping an eye on Colorado and hoping for a little Rockies pride at home against the Dodgers and Diamondbacks these next six days.
Twenty years ago today, the Rangers had already played the final game of what to that point had been their unluckiest season. A franchise that had never played a post-season game was in first place in the American League West (albeit with a 52-62 record) when, on August 12, 1994, the Players Association went on strike.
New stadium. New uniforms. First place. No playoffs.
The Stars were coming off their first season in Dallas and were weeks away from the second NHL work stoppage in two and a half years. The Mavericks were coming off their second-worst season ever (also known as “the Quinn Buckner era”), enabling them to draft Jason Kidd. The Cowboys were kicking off their first season under Barry Switzer, coming off of consecutive Super Bowl wins. The day before September 12, 1994, Dallas (which would ultimately go 12-4 but lose to San Francisco in the NFC Championship Game) squeaked by the hapless Houston Oilers, 20-17, in its home opener.
It was nearly four years before the first Newberg Report, a terribly crafted email I sent to a few friends that focused on the AAA contract given by the Rangers to 28-year-old 4-A lefthander and Fort Worth product Ricky Pickett. It was written very poorly, regrettably preserved evidence of an effort that was about 9,999 hours short of the Gladwell threshold. It contained exclamation points.
I’d like to think there were no exclamation points generated from my desk back on September 12, 1994. That Monday, 20 years ago today, was my first day as a lawyer.
Ron Washington (Low A manager), Tim Bogar (second-year big leaguer), and Mike Maddux (ninth-year big leaguer) were each with the Mets, and 20 years later they’re all part of a story whose next chapters are uncertain, as a season whose Unlucky Quotient obliterates 1994 nears a merciful end.
Arizona Diamondbacks GM candidate Thad Levine finished up his bachelor’s degree and baseball career at Haverford College in 1994, and four-year-old Engel Beltre presumably had two fewer injured legs than he does today.
Rougned Odor was seven months old on September 12, 1994, and of all the awesome images I have in my head of that kid, whose future I can’t wait to see unfold (preferably in a Rangers uniform), the one I can’t shake right now is seeing him quietly seethe in the dugout last night, all alone, well after all his teammates and coaches had retreated to the clubhouse after a sweep at the hands of baseball’s best 2014 team, the Angels. Bet he was a handful at seven months old.
Dominican “14”-year-old Albert Pujols was about to move to New York in September 1994, after which he would move to Missouri, after which he would be drafted in the 13th round, after which he would play in 2,102 big league baseball games before striking out four times in one of them, and it would come at the hands of Nick Martinez (twice), Spencer Patton, and Neftali Feliz, because not even Albert can predict ball.
And even if he could, it’s highly unlikely that he’d have foreseen that it would happen in a game that ended the worst 76-game stretch in Texas Rangers — and predecessor Washington Senators — history, culminating a 19-57 run that feels pretty much like a 19-57 run.
That footnote from last night’s loss comes from the great Scott Lucas, who was in Austin those seven years I spent before that September 1994 day and has been since, and yesterday he delivered his final minor league game report of the 2014 season. It was Scott’s best year yet, at least from a writing standpoint, though as a new father I suspect he might think of this as his best year in other ways, too.
So might Guilder Rodriguez, about whom Scott wrote on Monday, and about whom I will write about myself one day soon, bringing Jayce Tingler into the discussion because I think there’s an awesome parallel.
Jayce, who was born the “same year” as Pujols, probably won’t think of this as his best year, but it was a tremendous season on the farm for the Field Coordinator and his troops. While there have been an obscene number of setbacks at the big league level, there have been remarkably few in the organization’s minor league system this season, and a huge number of players who without question will consider this their best year yet, and rightfully so.
The Texas Rangers will think of 2014 as something entirely different. They now have baseball’s worst record by a full five games, and of course that’s not the worst part of it.
The only people at my office who will know that today is my 20th anniversary to practice law are those who read this newsletter, and that’s cool. It’s not a big deal. It’s sorta hard for me to believe that I’ve been at it this long, but it’s not a big deal.
But I do want to thank everyone I work with for making our law firm a place I still look forward to pulling into (almost) every day.
And I want to thank Scott for another really fantastic year of writing, and for doing what he does so reliably and with integrity.
And Jayce for another great year on the farm.
And Roogie for being Roogie, which includes that cold postgame stare out of the dugout and across the field last night, which was the 20-year-old saying to the Los Angeles Angels, I think: Go ahead. Get your licks in now.
(Or, as a hat-tip to that awful first-Newberg-Report-ever back in 1998: Get your licks in now!)
My wife and I finally got around to watching Season 2 of “Derek” the last few nights, at the end of which the Ricky Gervais character says, through tears:
That’s the amazing thing about life. You can just start again.
It’s what you do from now.
It’s never too late, until it is.
It’s one of the amazing things about sports, too, and I can’t wait for Texas Rangers baseball in 2015, when things can just start again, and give us genuine, renewed hope that we can celebrate the 19th, 18th, and 16th anniversaries of something special, if not the fifth and fourth.
On September 5, 2007, Ron Washington’s first Texas Rangers team beat the Royals, 3-2. The victory, Texas’s second straight and 9th of 11, drew the club to within 17 games of the division lead.
On September 5, 2008, an 8-1 loss to the Red Sox dropped the Rangers to 17 games back.
It would get better.
On September 5, 2009, Texas fell to the Orioles, 5-4, but, especially for a franchise that hadn’t played beyond 162 in a decade, still had hope at just 4.5 games back.
On September 5, 2010, the Rangers were in first place in the American League West.
On September 5, 2011, the Rangers were in first place in the American League West.
On September 5, 2012, the Rangers were in first place in the American League West.
On September 5, 2013, the Rangers were in first place in the American League West.
On September 5, 2014, Ron Washington — who hadn’t managed a ballgame in which the Rangers were mathematically eliminated since 2009 — announced hours before he would have done so again that he was resigning, immediately, from the job he’d grinded in uniform for 37 years to earn, the job he’d performed for eight years after that, building toward and cementing the greatest run in franchise history.
The fighter, walking away from the fight.
The man who consistently demanded and inspired effort and belief from the players who played for him, issuing a written statement that he felt he’d let the organization down, and its fans.
The baseball lifer, pulling his own plug.
We’ve heard it a hundred times, Wash talking about doing what the game asks you to do.
You make a long list of the things that Ron Washington, as genuine and transparent a man in his position as we’ve seen in local sports, is and is not. That list would include, near the top, that Wash is not a quitter. It was a hallmark of his 20-plus years as a player and his 20-plus years as a coach, and of every one of his teams. No quit.
In my November 7, 2006 article about the hiring of Wash as Rangers manager, I wrote:
Daniels called Washington authentic, a class act, one of the most contagious personalities he’d ever been around. I saw Washington interact with people for two hours yesterday, and came to the same inescapable conclusion. His character and enthusiasm are infectious.
Washington was almost apologetic in classifying himself as a “player’s manager,” a cliché label that nonetheless can’t be avoided when describing his coaching style. “We’ve all got to have each other’s backs, through thick and thin,” Washington said, and it was impossible not to believe he meant it, and lives it.
Eight years later, all Wash did was drive that point home, living it through leadership, over and over.
So what happened?
Something evidently outside the boundaries of thick and thin.
According to local reports, it has nothing to do with his contract, which ran through 2015 (“[w]e were already discussing 2015 and looking forward to getting the Rangers back to post-season contention,” Wash said in the statement he released to the press), or the club’s disappointing 2014 results.
This isn’t drug-related, we’re told.
It’s not health-related, we’re assured.
(In spite of Gary Pettis, Wash’s close friend and the only member of the coaching staff during his entire tenure, cryptically telling reporters Friday: “We just hope he has a speedy recovery, and gets back on his feet soon.”)
“As painful as it is,” Wash wrote, “stepping away from the game is what’s best for me and my family.”
In a season that has made so little sense on so many levels, that comment from the reliably resilient manager and baseball man’s baseball man — especially if health and his past drug use issues and current contract status are not involved — is just about impossible to wrap your head around.
There will be talk show guesswork as to what Wash is going through — why, in Jon Daniels’s words, the 62-year-old “needs to be doing what he’s doing” — but USA Today columnist Bob Nightengale takes the best approach:
It really doesn’t matter what the specific reason, but you know it’s got to be pretty serious for Washington to walk away. . . . Let’s not jump to assumptions. No need for rumors or speculation. Let’s sit back and permit Washington [to] tell us what happened.
He deserves that from us.
While it’s the most sensible thing Nightengale wrote, it’s not the most striking. Wash sent USA Today the following text message:
I’ll be back! Need some time!
We all have our favorite memories of Wash. Taking awesome, unapologetic liberties with the language. Wildly sending runners around third — from the dugout. Making those occasional early-game mound visits with nobody getting loose in the pen, usually targeting a young Derek Holland. Slapping his players in the face, lovingly, often targeting Derek Holland. Hitting grounders with that fungo and tirelessly throwing BP. Always teaching. The hugs. The pregame shows with Eric. The profanity-flooded clubhouse speeches that made every one of us go digging for the eye black.
Here’s Grantland writer Jonah Keri’s favorite:
Was at winter meetings talking to team exec. Wash walks by. Exec stops [our] conversation, runs over, hugs Wash, chats him up.
Maybe 20 seconds later, scout from another team does the same. A minute later, baseball ops guy from another team.
Within five minutes of first spotting Wash, there are maybe 9-10 people hugging him and crowding around to chat.
Other than Scott Boras’s winter meetings pop-ins drawing huge crowds with cameras every year, never seen anything like that. Before or since.
MLB.com’s Tracy Ringolsby responded to Keri’s series of tweets, particularly that final one, with his own:
[D]ifference is Wash drew a crowd from people because they wanted a handshake, not a headline.
Who walks away from that, and the 40-plus years that built up to it?
I’m concerned for Ron Washington and whatever’s going on. It just can’t be what the game asked him to do, and that’s troubling, whatever the reason is.
As for who succeeds Wash, it’s Tim Bogar for the next three weeks and maybe beyond that. He’s qualified to have been on a short list of candidates even if he hadn’t spent the last 11 months with the organization, and it stands to reason that he’ll have a real opportunity to influence his chances while running the ballclub as it plays out the string and tries to spoil other teams’ plans for October (while seeking to avoid 100 of its own losses). Bogar is quick to point out that he learned a ton from Ron Washington when he was a AAA infielder and Wash was a AAA coach, and having coached on Joe Maddon’s, Terry Francona’s, and Wash’s big league staffs, he’s learned from some of the best — and from three very different personalities — in that role as well.
Other names thrown out by various reporters as candidates to succeed Washington permanently in 2015 include pitching coach Mike Maddux and AAA manager Steve Buechele, along with external possibilities Dave Anderson, Don Wakamatsu, Omar Vizquel, Bud Black, Dave Martinez, Bill Haselman, Michael Young, Gabe Kapler, and Mark McGwire, and I’ll go ahead and irresponsibly suggest it would be worth looking into Maddon, who is under contract with Tampa Bay (through 2015) and thus would require an open mind on the Rays’ part and, even if that hurdle were cleared, a lot more talent expenditure than when Boston sent veteran infielder Mike Aviles to Toronto in October 2012 for manager John Farrell and righthander David Carpenter.
For what it’s worth, Ken Rosenthal (Fox Sports) reports that the “Rangers have not yet decided whether to begin [their managerial] search now or wait until after [the] season,” and are “[d]oing due diligence on internal [and] external candidates.” There’s nothing much to say about this part of this story for now, and since I’m still feeling the gut punch over Wash’s decision to leave, it’s not something I really care to think about yet anyway.
Evan Grant (Dallas Morning News) also reports that the Rangers and Jon Daniels, according to a major league source, have begun discussions on a long-term contract extension. Aside from JD deserving the extension, from an objective standpoint it makes all kinds of sense to have the GM in place for a longer term than the manager (and any other baseball operations officials) that he’ll offer jobs to this winter.
In the last 11 months, I’ve had to write about the departures of Nolan Ryan and A.J. Preller and Don Welke, a record-setting number of injuries, at least one of which could be career-threatening — and the loss of Richard Durrett — and while sports helps us learn to lose, we’ve all had more than enough baseball loss the last year, and that was before Ron Washington’s abrupt and mysterious decision to no longer see this team through thick and thin.
I’m at a loss myself, unsure of how I feel or what to say or what I hope is happening in Wash’s life, because all I can think of right now is what I hope it isn’t. And I wonder what he’s doing right now, and how it must feel to wake up and not have a professional baseball uniform to put on for the first early September since he was 17 years old.
That is, since 1969, when the Texas Rangers didn’t even exist. Ron Washington has worn the uniform, has lived the dream, longer than the Texas Rangers franchise.
His legacy goes well beyond the back-to-back pennants and the four straight 90-win seasons. He made Rangers players better, Rangers teams more resilient and more successful, Rangers baseball more fun. He made an absolutely huge impact here, in lots of ways, many of which will still be felt.
I think back to the Gold Glove trophy that Oakland third baseman Eric Chavez gave to his beloved infield coach a decade ago, the one that was damaged in Wash’s New Orleans home three years later during Hurricane Katrina, the one that Chavez replaced soon after that in a pregame ceremony in Arlington that nearly brought Wash to tears.
Chavez had the original trophy engraved with a simple inscription: “Wash, not without you.”
That’s where we all are today, I guess. At least it feels that way.
But it can’t. This is no time to close the window and shut the blinds. A tenure is over — number 38 needs to be retired next year — but that doesn’t mean an era is. St. Louis returned to the World Series without Tony LaRussa.
Man, I miss Ron Washington. A lot. And that won’t change.
I miss Pudge Rodriguez and Michael Young and Mike Napoli and Cliff Lee, too.
And one day I’ll miss Adrian Beltre, but he’s still here and so am I and we just move forward.
Through thick and thin.
The last September 3 that found the Rangers somewhere other than first place had been 2009, a season in which Texas ran out a roster that featured graybeards Omar Vizquel, Andruw Jones, Eddie Guardado, and Pudge Rodriguez but also broke in rookies Elvis Andrus, Neftali Feliz, Julio Borbon, Craig Gentry, Pedro Strop, and a 25th-round pick out of an Alabama community college in just his third pro season, lefthander Derek Holland, who came into 2009 with as much buzz as any pitching prospect the franchise had developed in years.
The Rangers had only two winning months that season, none after July, and finished 10 games behind the Angels, but we could all see things coming together, even if in September 2009 no adult realistically thought a World Series the next year was possible.
On this September 3, Texas is once again trailing Los Angeles in the division, only this time by 30.5 games, and Holland is an established 27-year-old veteran. But his start last night, at least for me, carried as much anticipation — for much different reasons, of course — than the 21 starts and 12 relief appearances he made in that 2009 season, when at 22 he was the second youngest (next to Feliz) of the 23 pitchers on the club.
Last night, Holland was the 37th Texas pitcher to take the hill in 2014.
Michael Kirkman, who relieved Holland after seven really strong innings (7-6-1-1-0-6) against a team fighting for 162+ in its park, was number 38, an all-time MLB record for pitchers used by one team in one season.
Sometime this week, Lisalverto Bonilla and Spencer Patton will make it 40 pitchers in 2014.
And 63 players, also a record number in the history of big league baseball.
I don’t know if 13 players seeing time on the 60-day disabled list (Holland, Joseph Ortiz, Geovany Soto, Engel Beltre, Jurickson Profar, Pedro Figueroa, Martin Perez, Matt Harrison, Prince Fielder, Mitch Moreland, Kevin Kouzmanoff, Alexi Ogando, Tanner Scheppers) is a record, and I don’t want to check.
But I do know the club’s 13 big league debuts in 2014 (Seth Rosin, Nick Martinez, Luis Sardinas, Daniel Robertson, Rougned Odor, Ben Rowen, Jake Smolinksi, Roman Mendez, Matt West, Phil Klein, Alex Claudio, Jon Edwards, Tomas Telis, Ryan Rua) sets a franchise mark, and all things considered, there’s a lot there to be encouraged by.
Five of the club’s top seven minor league affiliates earned playoff baseball this year (three of them — Frisco and Myrtle Beach and Spokane — will get their post-seasons underway tonight), and that’s encouraging, too.
I could sit here this morning and write a report about Rangers bench coach Tim Bogar, pitching coach Mike Maddux, and AAA manager Steve Buechele, and how they might fit into a story along with Tom Lawless, Dave Martinez, Dave Clark, Joe McEwing, Phil Nevin, and Craig Biggio, but given the choice I’d rather spit out 500 words on 17-year-old Mexico native Samuel Zazueta, a lefthander who followed his brilliant debut season in the Dominican Summer League (1.63 ERA, .203/.255/.278 opponents’ slash, 49 hits [zero home runs] and 12 walks in 66.1 innings, 91 strikeouts) with a gem in that club’s playoff-opening win against the Giants on Thursday (6-1-0-0-2-8) and then another awesome effort yesterday against the Red Sox (6-4-1-1-3-8) to put the Rangers in position to win that league’s championship series this morning.
I’d rather talk about Joey Gallo falling one 2014 home run short of (childhood friend Kris Bryant’s) minor league lead with his 42, and falling one AA home run short of leading both the Texas League and the Carolina League, the latter of which he departed way back on June 6.
That’s right. While with Myrtle Beach, Joey Gallo played two months out of the Carolina League’s five-month schedule, and no hitter in that circuit hit as many as his 21 home runs.
And in three months out of five with Frisco, his 21 homers was one short of a league title.
But for one night, last night, the big league game monopolized my baseball focus, just as Holland did back in 2009, when he battled through an inconsistent rookie season but carried a big bag of promise on a club that had never won a playoff series, yet was getting a lot closer than most people imagined. In a 2014 season almost devoid of moments that reminded us of this club’s last four years of nearly singular dominance, watching Holland deal last night provided one.
Taken by itself, the result of Kansas City 2, Texas 1 will never matter. Derek Holland flashing his 2011 form? As we all think about 2015, that matters a lot.
This is the season of 26 disabled list assignments and Player of the Month Adam Rosales, of more players than wins (for now), of Mike Carp batting third in his last act before being designated for assignment, for a team that just two and three years ago would regularly bat Mike Napoli eighth.
But it’s also the season of Rougned Odor and Robinson Chirinos and Daniel Robertson — and yes, Adrian Beltre — and of two dozen huge steps forward on the farm, with a spring around the corner when few organizations will have more power on Draft Day or in the international market.
There’s no telling what 2015 will bring on the big league front, but it will be better than 2014, and the last time there was no question that the next year would bring much bigger things was 2009, when the Rangers were on the doorstep of their best years ever and we knew it, when Derek Holland was breaking into the bigs and, for those who looked past the numbers and understood what he just might be, providing appointment baseball every fifth day.
He provided appointment baseball again last night, in a season short on it, and while I’m not going to sit here and suggest next year will be a World Series season, I wasn’t thinking that in 2009 either, and I know this: If Texas is going to erase the ugly memory of 2014 in 2015, Derek Holland will be a huge reason why, and last night’s game, whatever the final score was, should give us all confidence that things can change course quickly and drastically in this game, and not just in the direction things have gone this year.
There’s a lot to get to and I planned to do it this morning, but I thought this was more important.
The Do It For Durrett Benefit Concert at Billy Bob’s Texas is next Monday, September 8. You can find all kinds of details here and here — the auction lineup is seriously hard to believe. This event, which will help support Richard’s wife Kelly and their children Owen, Alice, and a third on the way, is shaping up to be an incredible showing of kindness and cool, and you can be part of that yourself.
I’d really encourage it.
Back with some baseball tomorrow.
For some reason, MLB sets the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline at 3:00 pm Central but the August 31 waiver trade deadline not until 11:00 pm Central, and for that reason there’s plenty of time today for Alex Rios to go 7 for 9 with five triples in a 16-inning game to reclaim his league lead in that category and prompt some contending team to send Jon Daniels an unexpected text that alters the 40-man roster yet another time.
But don’t hold your breath.
A year ago today, the Dodgers traded for Michael Young and the Pirates added Justin Morneau. In 2012, role players Jeff Baker and Ben Francisco were dealt. In 2011, the Rangers traded Pedro Strop for Mike Gonzalez and cash for Matt Treanor, and the year before that sent Joaquin Arias away to get Jeff Francoeur. There’s annually a move or two on this date, the deadline to put a player in your organization to make him eligible for playoff action. With the rare exception of a player who wasn’t rolled out onto the revocable waiver wire until the last few days (and claimed), the only players who can be traded today are those who cleared league-wide waivers at some point this month.
That includes Adam Dunn, who was acquired this morning by the limping Oakland A’s, in exchange for High A reliever Nolan Sanburn, ranked by Baseball America going into both 2013 and 2014 as that club’s number 11 prospect (2014: “one of the Athletics’ most exciting pitching prospects . . . fastball is electric at 93-94 mph and touches 96 with riding life, and his curveball shows impressive depth while coming in hard in the high 70s . . . upside is immense if everything comes together”).
The A’s, losers of 14 out of 23, including the last three to the Angels, who now lead them by four games in the division, gave up Sanburn — whom they drafted in the second round in 2012, more than 10 slots ahead of Alex Wood, Jake Thompson, and Nick Williams — for the possibility that Dunn can boost a flagging offense, and that makes me baseball-happy. If Sanburn pans out, it’s going to be for someone other than Oakland and well after Dunn retires.
That BA prospect list on which Sanburn ranked 11th over the winter has now seen Oakland’s top three minor leaguers (Addison Russell, Billy McKinney, and Michael Choice) traded, and the fourth (Raul Alcantara) a Tommy John victim this spring. The A’s keep on loading up for 2014 at the expense of the longer-term window — and at this point, especially having given up Russell, McKinney, and Yoenis Cespedes, they pretty much have to continue doing everything they can to win this year. As a Rangers fan, I support this wholeheartedly.
As for Rios, the Rangers have several choices, which we’ve gone over before. They can decline his $1 million option for 2015 this winter and still tender him a qualifying offer — only if they believe it’s likely that Rios will turn it down the one-year, $14-15 million deal on the assumption that he can get multiple years in what’s shaping up to be a thin market for hitters (the cautionary Nelson Cruz tale notwithstanding) — in which case they’d recoup an additional draft pick after the first round as well as the accompanying bonus pool money. They can instead exercise the option, making Rios a $13.5 million player for 2015 and either go into camp with him as the club’s right fielder or attempt to trade him — again, given the short supply of available bats this off-season.
Or they could trade him before 11:00 tonight, but given his thumb and ankle questions and his brutal month (.148/.169/.222 with zero home runs and one walk), the return would surely be negligible, especially in comparison to the possible ways this could go a couple months from now.
Then again, it’s just about gametime, Rios is batting third, and that first of five triples could be just a few minutes away, and could change everything. Holding my breath in 3 . . . 2 . . . 1 . . . .
None of these qualify as inexorable truth, but I 100 percent believe every one of them to be 100 percent true.
1. His slash line (.248/.282/.376) indicates less productivity than Shin-Soo Choo (.242/.340/.374) and Leonys Martin (.272/.326/.369) and fits more in line with what Mitch Moreland (.246/.297/.347) provided in 2014, but the Rangers simply cannot trade Rougned Odor. And I say that not because of what he did yesterday and not because he won’t turn 21 until the trucks leave for Surprise in February. Odor has an intangible that you can never have enough of (call it edge, call it swagger, call it fearlessness; one day it will be called leadership), and that doesn’t always accompany big talent. Texas needs Odor a whole lot. Put whatever variable you’d like on his trade value — it’s less than his value to his current organization, and maybe by a ton.
2. Every team in the big leagues has some of the world’s greatest baseball players on its roster. Sometimes it’s about arcs and timing. Take a look at the Rangers’ 2011 and 2012 rosters (even more so than 2010) and think about what some of those players did before those couple years and have done since. It will make you happy-sad.
3. Still have those 2011 and 2012 pages up? I miss that Elvis Andrus.
4. It would have been fun to see guys like Daniel Robertson and Jim Adduci and Nick Tepesch and Nick Martinez and Miles Mikolas and Roman Mendez and Alex Claudio playing at Round Rock, at this stage of their careers, in 2011 or 2012. Throw Kevin Kouzmanoff in there, too.
5. It’s interesting that Texas and San Diego will both feed prospects to the Surprise Saguaros AFL roster, meaning Nick Williams and Hunter Renfroe will be teammates for five weeks a little more than a month from now, and that Trea Turner and possibly Jurickson Profar will be sharing time at shortstop, but I’d also like to predict that some greater-than-zero percentage of Neftali Feliz, Martin, Profar, and Tanner Scheppers will be Padres by this time next year.
7. I’m looking forward to Draft Day this coming June, and not just at the top. The Rangers’ second-round pick (assuming they don’t forfeit it with a free agent signing) will be around where their first-round position has been slotted the last few years.
8. I still want the Rangers to win every time I watch them play. But I want the Rockies to win every night, too.
9. This team misses Michael Young a lot.
10. This team will not miss Alex Rios.
11. This whole Yu Darvish narrative is unwelcome, and I’d encourage you to give five minutes to this article by Yahoo! Sports columnist Jeff Passan. I sure hope Darvish wants his next contract to be with the Texas Rangers.
12. Jason Parks is now in the game (as Scott Lucas points out, he’s a Cub Scout), and that’s all kinds of awesome.
13. I’m happy to hear that Choo has been dealing with both an ankle and an elbow all year. He has to be better in 2015, and now there’s a couple legitimate reasons to believe he will be.
14. Ken Rosenthal (Fox Sports) reports that Cincinnati is “expected to trade at least one starting pitcher this off-season.” Johnny Cueto is going nowhere. Mat Latos, Homer Bailey, Mike Leake, or Tony Cingrani? Interesting.
15. The Rangers have said lately that they would like to add a starting pitcher somewhere between the 2 and 4 slots, and that a trade is more likely than a free agent signing (like Max Scherzer).
16. David Price gave up nine straight hits in the third inning of his start last night, and has a 4.41 ERA since joining the Tigers. Drew Smyly, one of the pieces Detroit sent to Tampa Bay to get Price, has a 1.67 ERA since the trade. Smyly has allowed fewer runs in five Rays starts than Price allowed in that one inning. (OK, this one is inexorably true.)
17. Trading for pitching is risky. But the Rangers don’t shy from risk.
18. It’s going to be a fascinating winter.
19. Baseball is great.
20. And Adrian Beltre is Baseball.
So Yu Darvish and Prince Fielder and Matt Harrison and Martin Perez and Derek Holland and Mitch Moreland and Tanner Scheppers and Alexi Ogando and Jurickson Profar and Kevin Kouzmanoff and Joseph Ortiz and Jake Smolinski and Pedro Figueroa and Engel Beltre and you and I have seen the Rangers record drop to 30 games below .500 for the first time since October 6, 1985, when Texas fell to California, 6-5, a game in which Bobby Jones, the current 64-year-old assistant hitting coach on Ron Washington’s coaching staff, started for the Rangers in right field, and by the way when Jones was a rookie with Texas 11 years before that, it was more than a year after the Rangers last picked 1/1 in the amateur draft, and also more than a year after the Rangers’ pick in that draft, Houston-area high school lefthander David Clyde, made his big league debut, giving up one hit and seven walks in a five-inning effort against the Twins, and the one hit was a home run by Minnesota left fielder Mike Adams, no not that Mike Adams, and the way Colorado — which was 20 years away from existing when Texas last had the 1/1 pick and took David Clyde — is responding to the loss of Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez to season-ending surgery, winning five of its last eight to move two games ahead of Texas in overall record, the name David Clyde is going to start getting mentioned more and more around here, and if it’s cool with you I’d like to change the subject and point out that Phil Klein, after ugly results his first two times on the mound for Texas, has pitched six times with a sparkling 8-2-1-1-3-9 line and as long as we’re on the subject of Rangers rookies, in spite of the number who have been pushed to Arlington this year, in many cases well ahead of schedule, the Rangers still have the best composite minor league win-loss record in baseball this year, meaningless in some respects but not so insignificant when you consider that (1) Texas consistently fields some of the youngest farm clubs in baseball and (2) director of minor league operations Mike Daly said, “Development is the most important thing . . . it supersedes everything else . . . but at the end of the day, winning is important . . . we expect to win at the major league level . . . it’s good to put players in as many of those situations as possible at the minor league level first . . . winning within the framework of the development is significant” (thanks, Evan Grant [Dallas Morning News]), and you realize that even if this weren’t a year in which finding promise on the farm was a welcome distraction, there’s a lot of winning within the framework of the development going on and that’s cool, and read this really outstanding Peter Gammons article and let me know when you’ve finished it, after which you should reconsider writing Michael Choice off, and if you’re still skeptical, that’s fair, but take note that after a .237/.326/.329 (.655 OPS) post-demotion July run with AAA Round Rock in July, he’s hit .296/.420/.606 (1.026 OPS) with 17 RBI in 20 games, and he’s still just 24 so a little patience is probably warranted, and seriously, go read that Gammons article, and this was really cool, too, and thank you guys for the honor system donations, and don’t forget to Do it For Durrett, and Happy Birthday to Luke Jackson and Omar Beltre and B.J. Waszgis (who was no Chris Gimenez: Go get ’em with Tribe, CG) and also to Jon Daniels, born four years and two months after David Clyde debuted but eight years and two months before the Rangers were last 30 games under, and when Thad Levine tells MLB Network Radio “we feel as if we should walk into 2015 with the same level of optimism we went into 2014 with . . . we are trying to make smart moves now and will continue that this off-season and get back to out-scouting people rather than out-spending people [as we] retool things,” and we recognize that Yu and Prince and Matt and Martin and Derek (please, no more setbacks) and Mitch and Tanner and Alexi and Jurickson and Kevin and Joseph and Jake and Pedro and Engel, for the most part, should be healthy or at least a lot closer to full health next year, and in terms of baseball mental health so should you and I, then JD’s 38th birthday, at least from a baseball standpoint, should be a lot more satisfying than his 37th, and on August 24, 2015 we can all hope I can pass along birthday wishes in something other than irritating one-sentence fashion.
I send one of these each year early in August, but didn’t want to do it this year until after our event to support the Richard Durrett Family Fund, so as not to take focus or dollars away from that effort. In fact, if you read the rest of this, I would encourage you to continue to support the Durrett family at www.doitfordurrett.com and attend the September 8 benefit concert and auction . . . and then, and only then, consider what follows if you see fit.
As you know, the content on the Newberg Report website and newsletter is free of charge and always has been. It’s never been a subscription-based product and I don’t want it to be, because that might mean some of you would drop out of the audience, which I don’t want.
Once a year, in August, we announce an “honor system” program, for you to respond to, or not respond to, as you wish. I’ll share your contributions with folks who put significant time and talent and energy into the Newberg Report – including Scott Lucas, Eleanor Czajka, Norma & George & Ryan Wolfson, Don Titus, Ed Coffin, Devin Pike, and Marty Yawnick – to help improve the product, some of whom do so every day. Without their efforts, the newsletter and website and book and our events wouldn’t be what they are today, and probably wouldn’t even exist.
What we ask for is modest, I think: a contribution of $15 to $25, or whatever you feel is appropriate, if you think it’s worthwhile. Don’t feel compelled to participate. Take part in this only if you want to.
Or you can send a check or money order to:
Vincent Lopez Serafino Jenevein, P.C.
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With your positive response to this “honor system” program, we’ve never had to seriously think about heading down a subscription-based path. That said, I want to reiterate that I never hold it against anyone who chooses not to participate. This is totally voluntary. And again, please support the Richard Durrett Family Fund before you’d even consider supporting what we do.
Thanks to each and every one of you for your continued support of the Newberg Report.