One year ago today, I wrote a report about Mike Napoli, focusing on a lengthy list
during the Jon Daniels/Nolan Ryan era of players that Texas acquired at what appears to have been exactly the right time. Players who were picked up just before they exploded, who came at a price that in retrospect seems absurdly light, who reached their big league peaks (or a significant resurgence) here – which doesn’t even count Adrian Beltre, whose contract already seems like a bargain.
The list was headed by Napoli and included Josh Hamilton, Nelson Cruz, Colby Lewis, Joe Nathan, David Murphy, Marlon Byrd, Darren O’Day, Milton Bradley, and Darren Oliver.
The departures the last few weeks of Nathan and Murphy, and possibly Cruz, will further prove the point.
Texas paid Nathan $7 million per year in 2012 and 2013 and got spectacular results. Detroit will reportedly pay him somewhere in the neighborhood of $10 million annually for his age 39 and 40 seasons.
The Rangers paid Murphy roughly $13 million over six seasons, most of which were pretty productive. Cleveland has agreed to guarantee him almost as much ($12 million) over just the next two, during which he will be 32 and 33, and coming off his worst campaign by far.
Cruz was paid about $21 million for seven Rangers seasons, with a high salary of $10.5 million in 2013. The 33-year-old will blow that number away with his next deal, even though he’s likely to enter his decline phase at some point during it.
Even A.J. Pierzynski, who will be 37, will be guaranteed more in Boston this coming season ($8.25 million) than he was in Texas ($7.5 million).
Craig Gentry was a senior at the University of Arkansas in 2006 when, in that summer’s 10th round, Rangers area scout Jay Eddings (who was promoted last month to a pro scouting position) pounded his fist on the table for a kid who wasn’t even drafted as a junior, due in part to Tommy John surgery, and whose senior season was abbreviated by an infection in his knee. Eddings believed in the player, and pushed until the Rangers used the 298th pick on the outfielder. It took a mere $10,000 signing bonus (where else was a senior going to go?) to bring him on board. He entered the system with all the fanfare ever afforded a college senior, which is to say basically none.
As someone who’s addicted to outfield defense and pressure offense, I’m obviously a huge Craig Gentry fan.
But I’m a bigger fan of building winning baseball teams, and while yesterday’s trade with Oakland can’t be oversimplified as the conversion of a 10th-round senior sign into a 10th overall pick in the draft, this is yet another example, almost certainly, of the Rangers maximizing a player’s value — and in fact getting the most out of him when he was undervalued in terms of payroll impact — and flipping him when the opportunity came up to get younger and less expensive and, given the immediate state of the roster, possibly more balanced.
Gentry turned 30 last week. His game is fully dependent on his legs. Oakland doesn’t care too much whether he’ll be the same player after three more years, when he’ll first have the right to test free agency, because that club’s window, which is framed offensively around 2014 28-year-old’s Josh Donaldson and Yoenis Cespedes and 34-year-old Coco Crisp, who will hit the market a year from now, is wide open right now. That’s a franchise that can’t worry about 2017, not coming off back-to-back division titles with over 90 wins and less payroll flexibility than most clubs. The A’s are built to win, and every move they’ve made this winter has been focused solely on 2014.
Which is not to say the trade that sent Gentry and righthander Josh Lindblom to Oakland for 24-year-old outfielder Michael Choice and 20-year-old infielder Chris Bostick was a 2014 sacrifice by Texas with only future seasons in mind. This deal, like last month’s Ian Kinsler-Prince Fielder swap, was made because it allowed Texas to take an area of strength and address an area of weakness, giving the roster more balance than it had the day before the trade went down.
Here are the realities:
Texas expects Leonys Martin, who made significant progress in 2013, to take the next step in his development and replace the flashes of impact play with a steadier dose of consistency. He’s this team’s center fielder and leadoff hitter, and not in a platoon.
As a right-handed hitter, Gentry could have gone into the 2014 season as the team’s starting left fielder, or more likely on the light end of a platoon with a left-handed bat like Engel Beltre or Jim Adduci or even Mitch Moreland. But given the Rangers’ objective of resuscitating its offense with some of the run production that was missing in 2013, the likelihood was always that left field was going to be an ideal place to add some punch.
He’s not the baserunner Gentry is, but Beltre is every bit as good an outfielder, and arguably better.
He’s also 24.
And out of options.
With Martin set to play every day in center (and Alex Rios in right), Gentry was in a bit of a lurch here — worthy of more than just 150 at-bats and a bunch of late-inning defensive work, but not enough punch to hold down a corner outfield spot on a contending team. A platoon in left? I’m not sure the Rangers were going to be comfortable giving Beltre or Adduci the heavy half of a tandem arrangement on a corner, or making Moreland an everyday outfielder. And if the plan was (or is) to go out and get a left-handed bat like Shin-Soo Choo (whom Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News reports Texas met with recently, and who Jim Bowden of ESPN/XM believes will sign with Texas) or Curtis Granderson or the switch-hitting Carlos Beltran, then you’re back to looking at Gentry as a fourth outfielder playing behind three full-time guys. That’s a valuable piece, but perhaps less so than as a trade chip — particularly given what the A’s were offering — and especially when Beltre (who will surely be claimed by another club if he doesn’t make the Rangers’ Opening Day roster) is still around to serve in the lockdown defender role.
Craig Gentry is a bench weapon. He’s very good at his narrowly defined job. Contending teams win with players like that.
But he’s a 30-year-old bench weapon. And when there are options behind him who can serve a similar function (even if less dependably), when you can turn a role player into a talent like Choice, it’s a risk that fearless GM’s are sometimes willing to take.
Jon Daniels was willing to make the deal because his scouts believe Choice, who was born in Fort Worth and played high school ball in Mansfield and collegiately at UTA (where he was teammates with Rangers outfield prospect Preston Beck), could give the club a power bat that’s ready to contribute. He’s going to have the chance to earn the left field job (and though his left-right splits are reasonably even, it’s possible the club could pair him with the left-handed Beltre or Adduci).
He could also be sent to AAA for more seasoning (he has all three options left), especially if an impact veteran is acquired.
He could be traded again, for that matter.
The point is that there’s flexibility — and six years of control — and if Choice’s raw power translates against big league pitching, he could give the Rangers something they’ve lacked, with the negligible type of payroll impact that facilitates much bigger splashes elsewhere on the roster.
Chosen 10th in 2010 draft (in a deep crop that included Bryce Harper  and Manny Machado  and Matt Harvey  ahead of him, and Chris Sale  and Christian Yelich  behind him — Texas took outfielder Jake Skole with the 15th pick and catcher Kellin Deglan 22nd overall), Choice hit a robust .266/.377/.587 that summer with Short-Season A Vancouver and then .285/.376/.542 (with a league-leading 30 homers) for High A Stockton in 2011, followed by a standout run in the Arizona Fall League (.318/.423/.667). His power receded with AA Midland in 2012 (.287/.356/.423) and came back only a little with AAA Sacramento this season (.302/.390/.445), earning a September look with Oakland in which he went 5 for 18 with a double and a walk, fanning six times.
Despite the drop in game power the last two years, scouts continue to tout Choice’s raw power and plus bat speed, pointing to his aptitude and mechanical adjustments as a hitter — his strikeout rate has improved every season (one for every 2.9 plate appearances in 2010, 1/4.0 in 2011, 1/4.6 in 2012, and 1/5.2 in 2013) and he walked once every 8.7 times up in 2013 after once every 12.2 trips the year before — and most believe he’s ready for the opportunity to hit in a big league lineup.
As with most deals that involve unproven players keying at least one side of it, this is a scouting trade. Rangers talent evaluators obviously feel Choice’s power is not only in there but poised to break out. Scouting decisions don’t always pan out, but this organization has a tremendous track record in that respect, and it’s easy to get behind the idea that Texas has measured the risk against the upside well and is right about what Choice will be.
The right-handed hitter/thrower is built like Marlon Byrd, and many things about his profile might remind you of the former Ranger outfielder. He’s capable of playing center field but is ideally a corner defender. He’s athletic but won’t be much of a basestealing threat and doesn’t throw particularly well. Byrd’s a lifetime .280 hitter who has flashed 20-25 home run power in his good years. Choice could be that same guy, with the chance to clear more fences eventually — especially away from O.co Coliseum as his home park.
Choice may not be ready to produce like Byrd did in 2007-09 with the Rangers or last year with the Mets and Pirates, but with Byrd now 36 there’s certainly no guarantee he’ll continue to produce at those levels himself.
And Byrd is guaranteed $8 million from the Phillies in 2014. And another $8 million in 2015. And another $8 million in 2016, if he plays enough beforehand to lock that third season in.
Choice will make roughly the Major League minimum those three years.
Ben Badler of Baseball America tweeted yesterday that Choice will slot somewhere in the top five among Rangers prospects — presumably along with catcher Jorge Alfaro, middle infielders Rougned Odor and Luis Sardinas, and one of righthanders Alex Gonzalez and Luke Jackson and third baseman Joey Gallo — but he was number two for the A’s, and without question the player with the highest ceiling in Tuesday’s trade.
According to San Francisco Chronicle writer Susan Slusser, “The move has some in the game scratching their heads (I’ve even heard comparisons to the Andre Ethier deal with the Dodgers).”
In December 2005, Oakland traded Ethier, then a 23-year-old who had just torn up the AA Texas League, to Los Angeles for Bradley, who would play the 2006 season at age 28 (plus infield prospect Antonio Perez). Bradley helped the A’s win the West in his one full season in Oakland, while Ethier finished fifth in the NL Rookie of the Year vote in 2006, since finishing sixth in the MVP race one year and appearing in the All-Star Game two other times. The mere invoking of that deal eight years later suggests there are folks unsure of why Oakland — cash-strapped Oakland — would move a high-end prospect like Choice for a 30-year-old role player, when nine times out of 10 you find the A’s on the opposite side of that kind of trade.
(One big league scout suggested to Slusser, by the way, that Bostick, the second player coming to Texas, “has upside and is a risky trade” for Oakland. He’s not a high-upside player, and is at least two years away, but Lindblom was probably not going to impact the 2014 Rangers staff any more than he did in 2013, and he’ll be out of options when the season ends. Adding a middle infield lottery ticket like Bostick — more ballplayer than toolbox in this case — is a classic Daniels move. But he’s far from a sure thing, even if some believe his hit tool and feel for the game could carry him a long way.)
I read a lot of A’s-centric material yesterday openly wondering if Billy Beane just isn’t a Michael Choice guy, for some unknown reason — otherwise it would seem fair to assume that (1) reasonable value for Gentry would have been less than a big league-ready prospect with Choice’s upside . . . or that (2) Choice could have brought a more valuable (younger?) asset back. (Grant speculated that the A’s, desperate for a new stadium, have that added reason to go all in for the 2014 season — and perhaps increase support for stadium funding.)
(Maybe Beane thinks that sending Choice to Texas could take the Rangers off the chase for Choo or Beltran or Cruz, increasing his own club’s chances in the division this year. Doubt that was a meaningful factor, though.)
Regardless of the reason, every national column you read today will suggest Texas won this deal, even if the more predictable immediate impact belongs to Oakland.
Gentry’s greatest value is as a part-time center fielder, and the importance of that role is arguably diminished this year in Texas. He had more value to Oakland, whose center fielder is aging, injury-prone, and a year from free agency, and whose need to win right now, even at the expense of the near future, has become apparent.
And that made Choice less valuable to the A’s than he is to Texas, which has made run production a priority this winter, and which has a left field situation that’s immediately open to competition. Oakland’s window may have gotten arguably wider with this deal, but it could shut sooner than the Rangers’ window, which Choice could help extend as he gives the club six years of inexpensive control and the type of raw power that was otherwise at least two years away from arriving off the farm.
The Rangers have had unusually good success in the 10th round of the draft, finding players like Rusty Greer and Doug Davis and Billy Sample and others (including outfielder Justin Maxwell, who didn’t sign, and righthander Matt Nevarez, who was eventually sent to Houston in a trade for Pudge Rodriguez, and outfielder Jared Hoying and righthander Cole Wiper, each of whom have a real chance to get to the big leagues). It’s historically been a more fruitful round for Texas than the second, or the fourth.
Craig Gentry fits near the top of that list of Rangers steals in the 10th round. Even though his unusually long college career was followed by an unusually long minor league apprenticeship, resulting in his first extended big league opportunity coming at age 27 in 2011, he was outstanding in his role here the last few years, providing the type of help off the bench that great teams get, and was a fan favorite (myself included). But he’s 30 years old, arguably situated, given the state of the team, in a position where he was either going to be overexposed or underutilized, and with this trade he enabled Texas to add a recent first-round pick at a position of need — and to potentially address left field without surrendering a future first-rounder in the process.
For now, at least.
Gentry is unquestionably a success story in Texas, but this organization has demonstrated, over and over, that it won’t keep a player too long. The Rangers scouted him well and developed him well, and most likely got Gentry’s best years, and are clearly convinced they have the chance to get the same out of Michael Choice.
And those lie ahead rather than behind.
One fan tweeted yesterday: “First Ian, now Gentry. Who are the women supposed to cheer for?!?”
I responded: “The Rangers.”
Just as the presence of Jurickson Profar and need for left-handed power made Ian Kinsler for Prince Fielder a good fit, the development of Leonys Martin and presence of Engel Beltre and need for even more power made the trade of Craig Gentry a sensible one. If Choice becomes what the Rangers believe he will become, one day we’ll look back fondly not only at the very good years the former 10th-round pick Gentry gave this team, but also at the trade that sent a 10th man to a division rival for a hometown kid, the corner bat with a high ceiling, controllable for a baseball eternity, that this club had a serious need for.
I hate Detroit’s trade of righthander Doug Fister to Washington (no matter what happens next), I don’t like A.J. Pierzynski for Boston, I like Oakland’s trade for closer Jim Johnson because I’m a Rangers fan, I’m confused by the Tigers giving Alan Trammell’s number to Ian Kinsler, I’m fascinated that the Angels reportedly offered Howie Kendrick to Detroit for Fister before the Tigers took Kinsler for Prince Fielder, and I’m intrigued by a handful of the players set free by their clubs in advance of yesterday’s non-tender deadline (including righthanders Andrew Bailey, Daniel Hudson, Ronald Belisario, Ryan Webb, and Sandy Rosario, lefthander Wesley Wright, and catchers Lou Marson and J.P. Arencibia), but today I have just two things I wanted to share with you:
Ricky Nolasco’s free agent deal with Minnesota (four years/$49 million) will pay him $12 million in 2014.
Scott Kazmir’s two-year deal with Oakland: $11 million in 2014.
Tim Hudson: $11 million in 2014.
Tim Lincecum: $17 million in 2014.
Dan Haren: $10 million in 2014.
Phil Hughes and Josh Johnson: $8 million in 2014.
Jason Vargas: $7 million in 2014.
Yu Darvish $10 million, Matt Harrison $8 million, Derek Holland $5.4 million, Martin Perez $1 million, and Alexi Ogando somewhere around $2 million.
A complete rotation — and a very good one — for under $27 million in 2014, or less than what the Giants will pay Hudson and Lincecum (their number three and four starters?) alone.
I’ve recommended Joe Sheehan’s Newsletter to you before, and will do it again. He didn’t ask me to plug his work. I asked him if I could share with you guys what he wrote on Sunday. He said sure.
Months ago, before we had a clear idea of when mom’s surgery date would be, I committed to seeing “Betrayal” on November 20. One of the reasons I love New York is that I very much enjoy theatre, not so much the big musical productions but plays, and you have terrific access to those here. I like — this won’t come as a surprise to those of you who know my love of Aaron Sorkin — well-written dialogue. “Betrayal” fit that, and was something of an event here in town, with the married Rachel Weisz and Daniel Craig as husband and wife in two of the three lead roles. Despite recent events, I didn’t want to stand up my friend who’d gotten the tickets, so I gathered myself together and went.
(Nickel review? Not bad, not great. I imagine it made a greater impression in pre-Thatcher London than it possibly can in a media environment where talky dramas are plentiful and adultery has lost its ability to shock. I did not like the conceit of telling the story in reverse. Also, the Barrymore may be a touch too big for a performance that is quiet, subtle, reserved.)
So i was completely out of touch when the Ian Kinsler/Prince Fielder trade went down, learning of it — as I learn almost everything nowadays — via Twitter on the 1 train headed home. My first reaction was…no reaction at all. I am a professional opinion generator, and the deal had broken me, the way Flash ads break my Firefox twice a day. i scrolled through others’ takes, sent some text messages and generally tried to figure out how this had happened.
It’s not as it this idea was completely random. Two years ago, when Fielder was a free agent, I beat the drums hard for the Rangers to sign him. They went with Yu Darvish instead, a decision that certainly cannot be criticized. However, their lineup was a bit lacking in 2012 and a real problem in 2013, a fact masked by a home ballpark that inflates run scoring. Darvish has been excellent, but the Rangers could have used Fielder as well. I had a good read on Fielder’s price — “an eight-year, $200-million contract” when he eventually got 9/214 — and foresaw that the Rangers would allow Hamilton to leave via free agency, creating a hole in the middle of the batting order.
“Prince Fielder is the one free agent the Rangers should target. He fills their position of greatest need; he is young enough that they would be buying his peak; he balances their lineup; and he provides a solution to the vexing problem of how to handle Josh Hamilton’s upcoming free agency. Even if it means stretching the budget a bit, the Rangers should make this move — it would swing the AL West back in their favor for now and years to come.”
The Rangers lost the AL West in 2012 by a single game and missed the outright spot in the Coin Flip Game by that much in 2013. Given that Mitch Moreland has failed to develop (.250/.308/.450 at ages 26 and 27), there’s a strong argument that pushing the payrolls the past two years to $140-145 million by signing Fielder could have been the difference between making the real postseason twice and not doing so at all.
The Rangers have now acquired Fielder and the seven years left on his contract in exchange for Kinsler and the four years left on his, with the Tigers sending $30 million over the last five years of Fielder’s deal to help make the trade happen. Fielder is a less attractive property than he was as a free agent, two years older — two peak seasons, ages 28 and 29, gone — and perhaps with more questions about what his performance will be in his thirties. His two years in Detroit were just all right: .295/.387/.491, playing in every single game, hitting 55 homers. Fielder’s 2013 line of .279/.362/.457 was his worst since his rookie season as a Brewer, and Fielder actively hurts any team as a fielder and baserunner, costing a team about a win a year with his glove and his legs. Per baseball-reference’s WAR, Fielder was just a single win better than Moreland in 2013, largely because of how poorly Fielder plays his position. It’s tempting to blame Comerica Park, but Fielder did not show unusual home/road splits during his time with the Tigers, and his poor 2013 stats weren’t any better away than they were at home.
Fielder’s defense may be bad enough that the Rangers can make him a DH and get more value from him than they would by leaving him at first base. Even if he doesn’t hit quite as well as a DH — most players don’t — they’d be getting back eight to 12 runs a year, and quite possibly more that that as Fielder ages. There are soft factors here to consider, as not all 30-year-olds take to becoming designated hitters, and you don’t want to start the relationship with your new #3 hitter by pissing him off. However, the most important things Fielder will do for the Rangers, he’ll do in the batters’ box; the Rangers need him to be the .300/.400/.550 guy they missed last year.
Will he be? Fielder has a very good strikeout rate for a hitter with his power, and excellent command of the strike zone. That’s enabled him to hit .286 in his career, and peak with three years of .299 or better. His strikeout rate has actually declined even as league strikeout rates have risen. His unintentional walk rate is down from its 2009-10 peak. I first thought that might be because he’s batting more with runners on base, but that doesn’t seem to be the difference. Per Fangraphs, though, Fielder does make contact more often now, when he swings, than he did earlier in his career. So the missing walks are the result of an improvement in his game. With his batted-ball data relatively stable, I see no reason to think Fielder’s plate discipline will be a concern. Fielder has never been a Three True Outcome player, which is what has separated him from the Adam Dunn class of batters, and which should be a separator for him — allowing him to continue to be productive — for the next few seasons at least. Fielder’s career slash line of .286/.389/.527 seems like a reasonable median expectation for him through 2016. There’s some downside risk here, because Fielder is a one-dimensional player and he’s signed for a long time, but he’s good enough at the plate now to warrant taking the risk.
The other player in the trade is substantially more risky. Ian Kinsler may have a broader skill set than does Fielder, and he’s signed for fewer years, and he has more positional value…but to my eyes, he’s showing many more markers of decline. Kinsler is a 32-year-old second baseman coming off two of the worst offensive seasons of his career. Never much of a hitter for average, Kinsler saw his power fall off — he slugged .423 and .413 the past two years despite a great home park for power — and his once-vaunted basestealing skills disappear. An 86% basestealer through 2011, Kinsler was 21-for-30 in 2012 and a wretched 15-for-26 last year. His 2013 bWAR was propped up by strong defensive numbers, ones that for Kinsler have bounced around considerably throughout his career. (Defensive bWAR, starting in 2006: 0.0, 0.8, -0.5, 2.6, 1.0, 2.2, 0.3, 1.5. Go ahead, predict the next number in that sequence.) Kinsler is closing in on 10,000 defensive innings at second base. He’s been prone to the kind of minor, nagging injuries that chip away at playing time and performance. Did I mention that he’s 32?
Perhaps the biggest concern is that outside of Texas, Kinsler has been an ordinary hitter. On the road, he’s batted .242/.312/.399, with stark changes in his strikeout rate and K/UIBB as compared to his work in Texas. Now, those road stats are skewed a bit — the AL West parks other than Rangers Ballpark have been excellent pitchers’ parks and the teams Kinsler has faced more with the unbalanced schedule have been good pitching teams — but the idea that Kinsler is a power/speed second baseman is belied by that .399. It’s not like Kinsler’s road stats are weighted by a couple of bad years. His road OPS, walking backwards from 2013: 735, 611, 730, 710, 672. This is who he is. When you add the road performance to the short-term decline to the age to the minor injuries…it’s a very problematic package.
Now, this could work out, but it hinges on Kinsler making fundamental changes to his approach. Kinsler hits a lot of pop-ups. That’s an effect of his being a flyball hitter, which you could argue was his attempt to take advantage of his home park. If Kinsler ports his pull/pop-up style to Comerica Park, he could have a very long season that accelerates his decline. If he changes, though…if he does something similar to what Torii Hunter has done the past two seasons and becomes a line-drive hitter with pop who can put balls in play in Comerica’s expansive outfield, then I think he could have more success than his home/road splits indicate. Projecting whether players will change in mid-career is a fool’s errand, but we’ve seen enough players make changes, even in just the last couple of years, to underline the point that adaptations happen. The current version of Ian Kinsler will get worked in his new home; if he builds a new version, though, he can help the Tigers win and perhaps stave off his decline. There’s a good outcome in which Kinsler hits .310 with 45 doubles and a dozen homers and his usual walk and strikeout rates.
The Rangers now have Fielder for the next seven years at a net cost of $138 million, or about $20 million per year. The Tigers have Kinsler for four years at a net cost of $92 million per year. I don’t think the money really matters all that much — you’re trying to win games and divisions and championships, rather than a wins-per-dollar title — but looked at that way, I think the Rangers did well for themselves. I would rather have Fielder under his terms than Kinsler under his.
Of course, this trade didn’t happen in a vacuum, which is why it’s such a fascinating deal. I’m certain that I’ve made fantasy baseball or Strat-O-Matic trades that were like this, where the fit between two teams was just so perfect that you could make a one-for-one swap that made both teams better the moment the deal happened. It’s extremely rare to see it happen in MLB; the first one that came to mind was the Padres/Blue Jays deal that, similarly, swapped a second baseman in Roberto Alomar for a first baseman in Fred McGriff, with Joe Carter and Tony Fernandez along for the ride. The Jesus Montero/Michael Pineda deal wanted to be this type of trade before it drank battery acid. The allure of the never-was-happening Oscar Taveras-for-Jurickson Profar trade was just this: to make the puzzle pieces fit better.
This trade isn’t about Fielder and Kinsler, really. It’s about Miguel Cabrera and Profar, and Nick Castellanos and Elvis Andrus. It’s about the puzzle pieces. This trade is designed to help the Tigers and the Rangers both align their talent better. So whether Fielder or Kinsler is the better player in 2014 or 2015, or whether one player’s contract commitment is now more or less onerous than the other, isn’t the point. The point is that both these teams expect to be better because of this deal.
For the Rangers, the immediate gain is obvious: After a year of being mishandled, Profar can now get on with his life as a second baseman. There’s some cost there, as Profar would be about a half-win more valuable per season, all things equal, as a shortstop, and he absolutely can be a major-league shortstop. However, simply being able to play him every day at a single position is worth that cost. Health allowing, the Rangers now have a championship-caliber middle infield locked in for the next six years, a combination that should be worth six or seven wins next year and could peak at 10 to 12 wins above replacement. Just putting an average team around Profar and Andrus makes the Rangers a contender. They also fill a hole; in the first year post-Josh, Rangers’ left-handed batters slugged .389 with a .300 OBP, numbers Fielder will certainly help improve.
The Tigers’ gains aren’t quite so obvious, but this trade should cancel everyone’s favorite show, “Miguel Cabrera, Almost Third Baseman”. Cabrera was a poor defensive player at full health, and when injuries limited his mobility in the second half of 2013, he became one of the worst defensive players we’ve seen in a while. The Tigers’ roster construction left them no solution other than to keep playing Cabrera and hope for the best. While the Tigers put on a good face for two years, trading Fielder concedes the point that Cabrera can’t continue playing third base. With Fielder gone, Cabrera can not only move back to first base, he can spend time at DH when his body demands time off the field. The Tigers stand to gain 20-30 runs just by putting a capable third baseman on the field. Add that to the upgrades at second base and first base, and it becomes clear that this deal is going to make the Tigers better in the short term.
The Tigers fill a hole at second base that was opened by Omar Infante’s free agency, and they’ll have the option to move Castellanos, originally a third baseman, back to the hot corner. Castellanos was moved to the outfield as a downstream effect of Cabrera’s initial move to third in 2012, but his bat will play considerably better at third base. His defense at third did not warrant the initial position switch, and frankly, after two years of running Cabrera out there, the Tigers don’t get to tell anyone they can’t play third base for reasons of defense. Castellanos hasn’t exactly raked above A ball — .271 with middling power and a 176/65 K/UIBB in a bit more than 900 PA — so he’s got a much better chance of having a career if he’s not a corner outfielder.
I think back to that train ride home, and my inability to form an opinion on this deal. It’s because this trade, this bolt from the blue, doesn’t fit what we do any longer. It’s a baseball trade — forget the $30 million. It’s a baseball trade that aligns the talent of two teams better, that should make those two teams better, that makes sense no matter how you look at it. You can’t snark it, you can’t reduce it to 140 characters, you can’t make a sound bite out of it. You can just sit back and appreciate the creativity and the craft of Jon Daniels and Dave Dombrowski, two men who do their jobs as well as anyone in the industry. Who won? They both did.
The Twins have a beast of a minor league system, possibly the best in baseball. It’s headed by two potential monsters in center fielder Byron Buxton and third baseman Miguel Sano, followed by righthanders Alex Meyer and Kohl Stewart, and backed up by a solid supply of kids up and down the system, all over the field and particularly heavy on the mound.
There’s an outside chance that Buxton, Sano, and Meyer could all arrive in Minnesota sometime in 2014. But realistically, that franchise’s window is at least two years from opening. It’s a club coming off seasons of 99, 96, and 96 losses, twice the most in the American League and once out-awfuled by only the Astros, and even with this week’s signings of righthanders Ricky Nolasco and Phil Hughes, an over/under of 90 Twins losses in 2014 would probably draw fairly even play.
To convince a free agent in November to take himself off the market, you typically have to overpay.
That’s triply true when you’re a non-contender like the Twins.
Minnesota is reportedly committing $49 million over four years to Nolasco, who will be 31 next week, and $24 million over three years to Hughes, who isn’t very good at pitching. That’s $73 million in obligated cash for a club whose payroll in 2013 was around $76 million.
It’s the latest example of the shifting contract landscape, as free agent classes get annually thinner at the same time as franchises lock in exponentially more lucrative TV deals. It stands to reason that heavier competition for fewer arguably reliable veteran players would result in contracts that look crazier — but which, as always, won’t look so crazy in most cases, if we just give it a couple years.
One upshot of all this is that contracts that clubs entered into a year or two or more ago, even if they seemed like significant step-outs back then, tend to look like team-friendly deals now, assuming all other things (performance, health) are no worse than roughly equal.
And one baseball synonym for “team-friendly” is “tradeable.”
Who do you want: Nolasco at 4/49, Jason Vargas at 4/32, Hughes at 3/24, or Derek Holland at three years and $24.3 million — with club ability to control the 27-year-old at four years and $34.8 million or five years and $45.3 million?
Assuming Matt Harrison is healthy, you have him at 4/49 for the remainder of his year-old deal (or 5/60.25 if Texas picks up a 2018 option). Would you trade the 28-year-old Harrison today for a 31-year-old Nolasco? Of course not.
Yu Darvish: Locked up for 4/41 at this point (or 3/30 if he earns a player option via Cy Young finishes).
Let’s see what Matt Garza, Ubaldo Jimenez, Ervin Santana, and Bronson Arroyo get — but then again, even including Darvish in any affordability examination is sorta silly.
Some have suggested that Elvis Andrus’s contract extension, which commits Texas to $124.475 million over the next nine years ($13.8 million AAV) — or $139.475 over 10 seasons if the Rangers pick up a 2023 option — unless Andrus opts out after another five years and $66.475 or six years and $81.475, is a bad deal.
Who would you rather pay: the 25-year-old Andrus between $13 and $14 million a year for the prime of his career — or more than $13 million a year, for the next four seasons, to 31-year-old Jhonny Peralta?
If Nelson Cruz gets the four years and $75 million he reportedly seeks ($18.75 million AAV), how’s Adrian Beltre’s three years and $51 million ($17 million AAV) — which will be two years and $35 million ($17.5 million AAV) if he fails to reach 1200 plate appearances in 2014-2015 or 600 plate appearances in 2015 — looking now?
Beltre is 34.
Cruz is 33.
Cruz at 4/75 (or something close to it), or Alex Rios at the club’s choice of one year at $14 million or two years at $27 million?
Regardless of where you fall on Cruz vs. Rios as baseball players, you’re talking about a shorter commitment for Rios, and substantially less per year, assuming Cruz gets something close to what he’s asking for.
If Joakim Soria’s arm comes back in the second year after Tommy John surgery like they often do, is he worth the $6 million the Rangers will owe him in 2014 if they don’t pick up his 2015 option, or the two years and $12.5 million if they do?
Before you suggest he’ll need to be closing games to make the contract a good value, recognize that set-up men Joe Smith and Javier Lopez each just got three years guaranteed, for $15.75 million and $13 million, respectively.
Ian Kinsler’s contract was arguably as untradeable as any on the Rangers, until Texas moved it for Prince Fielder’s arguably unmovable deal.
All these other affordable contracts — plus the $15 million AAV saved the next few seasons at second base — presumably made assuming the Fielder contract palatable.
Especially with the $30 million subsidy from Detroit, which effectively makes the Texas commitment $19.7 million annually for the remaining seven years on Fielder’s deal.
Fielder is 29. Hypothetical: You can trade the seven years left on his contract, right now, for the six years at $11.3 million annually that the White Sox have guaranteed Jose Dariel Abreu. Wouldja?
You read all the time about the Rangers’ flexibility, from their depth at key positions to the waves of prospects in the pipeline to ownership’s demonstrated willingness to step out on payroll when key opportunities present themselves.
But there’s flexibility too created by locking up key pieces before they need to be locked up, and in spite of the fact that Texas regularly posts a top-third payroll, I think you’d be hard-pressed to find much of anything approaching albatross salary on this roster. Given the way this winter’s free agent market has developed — not unexpectedly — you might take a look at the Texas roster and ask yourself how many attractive trade pieces this club has, and not only in terms of its robust farm system.
Something I was thinking about as our own season of overindulgence gets rolling this week . . . .
There are a few interesting things about the Baseball Prospectus list of the Rangers’ top 10 prospects, published a couple weeks ago by Jason Parks:
- Rougned Odor, 2B
- Jorge Alfaro, C
- Alex “Chi-Chi” Gonzalez, RHP
- Luis Sardinas, SS
- Nick Williams, LF
- Joey Gallo, 3B
- Luke Jackson, RHP
- Nomar Mazara, RF
- Lewis Brinson, CF
- Ronald Guzman, 1B
You have international free agents from Venezuela (two), the Dominican Republic (two), and Colombia (one), and five draft picks — two first-rounders, two supplemental first-rounders, and a second-rounder.
There’s a 22-year-old, a 21-year-old, four 20-year-olds, three 19-year-olds, and an 18-year-old.
Which, of course, does not include 20-year-old Jurickson Profar or 22-year-old Martin Perez.
From strictly a “tools” standpoint, the player who would probably chart lowest is the also the one who received the smallest signing bonus of the 10.
He’s the Rangers’ number one prospect.
There are three players who finished the 2013 season in AA. Two in High A. Four in Low A.
Of the hitters, two hit from the right side, five from the left, and one from both sides of the plate.
And maybe coolest of all:
A catcher, a first baseman, a second baseman, a shortstop, a third baseman, a left fielder, a center fielder, a right fielder, and two pitchers.
It goes without saying, but this sort of depth — vertically and horizontally — is how you can afford to spend big on Major League free agents, and trade for impact players.
There’s a reasonable chance not all 10 of the above players will still be Rangers when camp breaks around 80 sleeps from now.
But if that’s the case, it means the big league club will have added immediate impact in the process — and there are plenty more where those 10 come from.
The day after Tampa Bay 5, Texas 2, a game in which Ian Kinsler turned out to be the Rangers’ final baserunner of the year, Ginger and I decided it was time to watching “Breaking Bad,” start to finish.
I’ll never forget where I was when, seven weeks later, I heard Kinsler was traded for Prince Fielder. We were just sitting down to watch the final two of the series’s 62 episodes.
I’m sad it’s over.
There are reasons to like the trade.
There’s the addition of much-needed left-handed slug.
There’s the clearing of an everyday spot for Jurickson Profar.
There’s the math revealing that, effectively, Texas will pay $19.7 million per year to have Fielder through his age 36 season (2020) while Detroit will pay $23 million per year to have Kinsler through his age 35 season (2017) (though Detroit’s $30 million subsidy won’t actually kick in until 2017-20) (but hey, that means if Ronald Guzman is ready to roll by then, the Rangers won’t have to chip all that much in to move Fielder elsewhere).
There’s the reality that seven years and $138 million for Fielder probably looks a lot like what Jacoby Ellsbury and Shin-Soo Choo will approach this winter, and given the choice between the three (and the relative scarcity of power around the league), I know which one I want. (Not that we can categorically rule out having two of them.)
There’s the fact that Fielder is just 29 while Kinsler is 31.
There’s the excitement of an old-fashioned blockbuster baseball trade.
There’s the factor that may be most critical here — that Fielder, coming off arguably his worst season (that still resulted in a .279/.362/.457 slash and 106 RBI), may be poised for one of those something-to-prove seasons in a new uniform.
And I do like the trade. It addresses multiple problems with this lineup, and demonstrates an ownership and baseball operations commitment to go hard after ways the group believes it can get better. I’m a believer in the axiom that you always want to get the best player in the deal if you can, and I think Texas has done that. Fielder, despite his physique, has been more durable than Kinsler (in fact, more durable than just about anyone else), and given where Kinsler’s offense has headed the last two seasons, when he’s no longer a middle infielder, what is he?
That’s OK, I think.
It sort of ties in — sort of — with the story I was prepared to write today about David Murphy moving on to Cleveland.
I got a ton of email messages from readers after word broke on Tuesday that Murphy was going to sign with the Indians. One of them stood out. The message, no doubt from one of the many Rangers fans who bristled openly whenever I tweeted or wrote anything about Murphy short of suggesting he was an MVP candidate, simply said:
“Great. Now we have nothing to show for the Eric Gagne trade other than overhyped Engel Beltre. Fail.”
The fact that David Murphy — who had fallen off the map with Boston several years after the club had used a first-round pick on him, who had been scouted well and bought low by the Rangers, who shed the disappointment tag and established himself as a key piece on a contending Major League club, who went from a 25-year-old minor leaguer to a guy who will earn at least $25 million playing the game, and who will get half of that from a third organization that thought enough of him to quickly offer the 32-year-old what amounts to the fourth-largest contract yet signed by a free agent this winter — isn’t going to retire as a Texas Ranger made the July 2007 deal that brought him here a failure?
Under the same thinking, with Kinsler moving on, are we supposed to instantly downgrade what was one of the great Rangers careers?
A year after Kinsler was drafted, the Mavericks traded Antoine Walker and Tony Delk to Atlanta for Jason Terry and Alan Henderson. Is that a failed deal because Terry left as a free agent last year?
Or no, I suppose, everyone would give the Mavs a pass there since Terry helped Dallas win a ring.
But wait, does that make the Mark Teixeira Trade a failure unless Elvis Andrus, Matt Harrison, or Neftali Feliz retires as a Ranger — or unless at least one of them wins a World Series here? Same with the Rule 5 pick on Class A outfielder Alexi Ogando?
And what’s the point? Is it to hang onto the players we all really like as people and role models even when their usefulness as baseball players begins to wane, or is it to win the very last game of baseball’s post-season?
Maybe the answer isn’t the same for everyone. OK.
But I don’t understand the sentiment that David Murphy (or Kinsler) wearing another uniform, in a profession and certainly a sport when the ones who last a long time almost always wear more than one, amounts to a failure for the team he’s moving on from.
Do the Rangers have “nothing to show” for Edinson Volquez and Danny Ray Herrera, just because they didn’t win a World Series with Josh Hamilton?
“Nothing to show” for Justin Smoak and Blake Beavan and Josh Lueke and Matt Lawson, just because Cliff Lee didn’t stick around long-term? Or for Frankie Francisco because Mike Napoli moved on?
Will Texas have “nothing to show” for its insistence that Milwaukee, as the seller in July 2006, tack 4-A Nelson Cruz onto the deal that sent rental Carlos Lee to the Rangers for Francisco Cordero, Kevin Mench, Laynce Nix, and Julian Cordero — if Cruz leaves this winter?
Well, I suppose there will be the compensatory pick after the first round in that case, just as Hamilton’s departure turned into infielder Travis Demeritte and Lee leaving led to Texas drafting lefthander Kevin Matthews and outfielder Zach Cone.
And if Demeritte and Matthews and Cone and whoever the supplemental first for Cruz would be don’t help Texas win a title before their time here is done, what then?
Do we as fans having nothing to show for however long and however much we’ve invested in these last 42 years? Does anyone actually think that way?
Was the step-out to sign Adrian Beltre a failure if he retires as a Ranger without winning a World Series?
Was Kinsler’s time in Texas a failed bit since the player Texas found in the 17th round and developed into one of baseball’s best second basemen didn’t help bring home a ring while he wore the uniform?
Of course not.
I’ve been a Kinsler guy since that 2004 spring training, his first, which I’ll never forget (four months before John Hart traded him to Colorado with righthander Erik Thompson for outfielder Larry Walker . . . who vetoed the deal) (then again, had Texas chosen Robinson Cano rather than Joaquin Arias from the Yankees to complete the A-Rod trade three months before the Walker near-trade, Kinsler likely would have been traded somewhere else once the Rockies deal died). The bat speed, the foot speed, the chip on his shoulder. The toughness on the double play pivot and everywhere else, the ability to do what your leadoff hitter needs to do while throwing in a little middle-of-the-lineup damage, the tear from first to third, the swagger.
Yes, the pop-ups and the pickoffs drove me crazy at times. But no player is perfect, and Ian Kinsler could play for my team any day.
I don’t dislike David Murphy and never have. As Jeff Wilson (Fort Worth Star-Telegram) tweeted yesterday: “Media loses a go-to guy. Rangers lose a good guy.”
Unassailable, on both counts.
Was I upset that Murphy, in spite of a career that in some respects has been fairly similar to Alex Gordon’s, didn’t have Gordon’s left field range or outfield arm or defensive court sense? No. Not Murphy’s fault. He is what he is.
And what that was was very good here, in spurts, a couple of which — the last two months in 2010 and the last month in 2011 — were a pretty big deal.
Whenever a player, especially one on the wrong side of 30, gets traded (in part) to make room for a much younger, much cheaper player who is judged to be ready to contribute every day, that’s typically good baseball management, even if it doesn’t always please the P.R. meter. When one of those players gets the opportunity to sign what will be his only multi-year contract for a whole lot of money, you’ll almost never see me complain about him leaving whatever situation he had in order to do it.
Given the circumstances as a whole, moving Kinsler made more sense than moving Andrus or Profar, especially if there was an opportunity to get a core piece in return. Given the team’s overall situation, Texas was never going to pay Murphy $12 million to play his age 32 and age 33 seasons here. With Cleveland willing to do that, I’m happy for Murphy and am totally behind his decision to accept the deal. It would have been foolish not to — just as it would have been foolish for the Rangers, whose needs are too great in other areas to pay that amount for that player, to make offer him that contract.
I can’t say I’m happy for Kinsler, but he’s seen just about every one of his veteran teammates go (if not come and go). It’s rare for a player to spend an entire career in one place. Kinsler knows that.
Just because I’m absolutely OK with the Kinsler trade and the Murphy exit via free agency doesn’t mean I had a problem with Kinsler (far from it) or that I wasn’t fine with Murphy in the right role.
The Rangers have plenty to show for Kinsler, their 17th-round pick in 2003, and for Murphy, the 17th overall pick in that same draft, a change-of-scenery prospect they acquired for the aging rental closer they’d gotten a mere four months of work out of. Even without either bringing a ring while they were here.
If the sole measure of whether a draft pick or a trade pickup or a signed free agent worked is whether that player finished his career here, or helped the Rangers win a ring, or both, then you’re setting yourself up to accept that very few moves are ever going to work. Suit yourself.
I wouldn’t ever say that I have nothing to show, as a fan, for the investment I made in the 2010 and 2011 Rangers, who fell just short.
Or for everything I put into the other 35-plus seasons I’ve spent caring a whole lot about this team.
I have plenty to show for all those years. It doesn’t always work out, in the ultimate sense, and in fact usually doesn’t.
My “Breaking Bad” experience is over, too — on the same night that Kinsler’s Rangers career ends — and I’ll miss it. Maybe it’s easier to let go since my experience with the show lasted just seven weeks, rather than the full six years. Still, I hate that it’s done.
But I’ll think of it well.
Just like Pudge and Cliff and Nolan and these four guys:
There were different reasons that Texas and those four parted ways, and chances are one day Prince Fielder might wear a uniform that doesn’t say “Texas” or “Rangers” across the front. That’s baseball.
But for now, Adrian Beltre will see Andrus and Profar and Fielder to his left just about every night, and until yesterday not one of those three was a lock going into 2014.
The Beltre deal concerned lots of people when Texas made it three winters ago, because of his age and the dollars and term involved. That one’s worked out pretty well so far.
Even though Beltre isn’t wearing a ring yet.
Fielder isn’t wearing one, either, though he’s gotten close a few times, just like Andrus and just like Kinsler. The Rangers wanted to sign him two years ago, and you have to wonder what might have been in 2012 and 2013 if they’d succeeded.
But that’s in the past, and the Rangers have acted quickly this winter to tend to business as far as their American League future goes, to start taking advantage of every opportunity they can to help their chances to win going forward.
That’s the part that has me fired up about Ian Kinsler for Prince Fielder and $30 million, a deal that reportedly came together in the span of about 24 hours. And about whatever’s next, because Texas isn’t done.
Which doesn’t mean, in the case of Kinsler or David Murphy or anyone else who has outplayed their draft position here or who redefined their careers here or who came here for three glorious months before moving on, that I’m not a fan of what they contributed in the past.
But get overly caught up in that, and lose sight of the primary objective, which is to get better and to win, and those numbered jerseys and T-shirts in your closet might stay relevant longer . . . but end up on your back in an emptier ballpark, with a stale ballclub playing meaningless games to ride out the season’s string.
None of us wants that.
Like Walter White said in Season 1 of “Breaking Bad,” which was great and which is over and which nonetheless gave me an experience I feel like I’ve got plenty to show for and which I won’t ever forget:
Sometimes you’ve just got to change the equation.
Fine. I’ve put this off long enough.
I’ve thought about what Texas needs as it reshapes its roster this winter, in some cases out of necessity. I’ve thought about what the Rangers have that might interest particular other clubs. I’ve thought about payroll, and I’ve thought about not only which free agents might attract Texas by but also whether this club might be a good fit as those players decide where to make their next baseball home.
And this is still basically a worthless exercise.
Because, for starters, I don’t get to talk to other clubs or to know what those conversations had by others consisted of. I don’t have access to a crew of scouts and advisors who’ve had conversations with their other-organization contemporaries.
I sit, like you, on the sidelines “watching” this game get played, though most of the important action remains completely out of view.
Especially with this organization. (Slow clap.)
And, maybe as on-point as anything else: What do I know?
I’ve tried to think about as many of the possible whiteboard angles as I could, each of which sprouts a dozen possibilities and at least that many we haven’t thought of. I’ve tried to come up with a couple models that at least arguably look like possible Rangers courses of action. I’ve scratched out far more ideas than I haven’t.
But there’s enough left for me to dump the scraps on you, with the strong suggestion that there’s a super-huge likelihood the club would never be able to execute all of these moves — there are 29 other clubs who like the same likable players and have money to spend, too — and that even if the scope was realistic, the specific moves themselves probably aren’t, and so you would be very well served to take it all with a saltier chunk of salt than any TROT COFFEY report.
1. Texas offers righthanders Alexi Ogando and Luke Jackson, shortstop Luis Sardinas, and third baseman Joey Gallo to Tampa Bay for lefthander David Price.
The Rays say no.
The Rangers move on from David Price.
The rest of this is not in chronological order.
2. Texas signs the following free agents: catcher Brian McCann, outfielder Carlos Beltran, and second baseman-outfielder Skip Schumaker.
The Rangers forfeit picks 22 and 72 in the June 2014 amateur draft for the McCann and Beltran signings, but recoup a pick at 38th overall when Nelson Cruz signs somewhere else. (The picks will actually end up being slightly higher than those slots as other teams forfeit picks and sign their own free agents, but you get the idea.)
3. Texas signs righthanders Colby Lewis and Juan Carlos Oviedo (nee Leo Nunez) to non-roster deals.
4. Texas makes one of two trades:
(a) Second baseman Ian Kinsler, outfielder Engel Beltre, and catcher Kellin Deglan to Kansas City for DH Billy Butler, second baseman Johnny Giavotella, and either lefthander Donnie Joseph or lefthander Sam Selman.
(b) Second baseman Ian Kinsler, righthander Alexi Ogando, and shortstop Odubel Herrera to Toronto for outfielder Jose Bautista.
If Texas makes the Jays trade, the club then goes out and signs free agent righthander Tim Hudson.
5. Texas trades righthander Jerad Eickhoff and outfielder Jordan Akins to San Diego for first baseman Kyle Blanks.
6. Texas trades either lefthander Michael Kirkman or the combination of infielder Ryan Rua and righthander Jose Valdespina to Colorado for utility infielder Jonathan Herrera.
If I knew how to Photoshop, I’d take this image and replace Yoda with Pudge Rodriguez, Obi-Wan with Bengie Molina, and Anakin with Brian McCann, as the triumvirate who gets to help put finishing touches on Jorge Alfaro (Luke) the next couple years.
Instead, I’ll just invite you to watch this, which is some of what Alfaro did yesterday while he was playing baseball and I was trying to settle on the final look of this silly spitball report, compiled with only one name completely off-limits as far as I’m concerned (well, two, if you count Yu Darvish), and if you’re not sure who my other Rangers untouchable would be, just re-read this sentence and click that link.
Unlike everything else in this report, that stuff’s real.
Thursday morning, the Baseball Prospectus staff published a story called “The Lineup Card: 12 Items That Tell the Story of the 2013 Season.” At number 11 was a lengthy entry by BP writer Nick J. Faleris, which he titled “The Rangers’ International Spending Spree.”
In Faleris’s section, he went into interesting detail on the tactics Texas deployed last year on players like righthander Marcos Diplan, shortstops Yeyson Yrizarri and Michael De Leon, and outfielder Jose Almonte, blowing through the club’s allotted cap and absorbing the codified penalty for doing so, which happens to restrict what the Rangers will be able to in 2014’s J2 period but, for teams exceeding their cap going forward at the level Texas has done in 2013, the primary restrictions will extend not just to the following year of international signings but actually to two years of such spending.
Faleris spells it out: “That’s right. While the Rangers are forfeiting the right to spend big next year, any team hoping to follow suit in gobbling up a bunch of top talent in a single signing period will have to forfeit big spending for a two year period. By acting first in this manner, the Rangers have effectively claimed an advantage on the international amateur scene that no team can match. Strategically, it’s a home run; scouting and development will ultimately determine whether that impressive first move results in an on-field advantage for the big club.”
And this: “In many ways, Rangers fans might consider 2013 a disappointment. To me, it was another example of an impressive organization operating at the forefront of the talent acquisition game. It’s moves like this that should keep Rangers fans confident their org is going to do what it takes to keep the talent pipeline stocked for the foreseeable future.”
Hours after Faleris wrote about the Rangers’ “remarkable first move advantage,” the club announced the signing of lefthander Martin Perez to a contract that it controls for longer than that of any other player. It’s a move that set the 22-year-old up for life, provided the organization with a tremendous amount of cost certainty, rotation stability, and overall flexibility, and earned praise from writers all over the country (including ESPN’s Keith Law, who tweeted: “Dispatch from the Department of Obvious Analysis: The Martin Perez deal looks amazing for Texas”).
And it harkened back to a time when the Rangers, after years of international absenteeism, began to reclaim that advantage in Latin America that is now a big part of why Texas operates, Faleris argues, at the forefront of the talent acquisition game.
Most of us remember when the Rangers had an unmistakable foothold internationally, signing teenagers like Pudge Rodriguez and Sammy Sosa and Juan Gonzalez and Ruben Sierra and Jose Guzman and Wilson Alvarez. But the advantage Texas had south of the border began to erode to the point at which the club was lagging most of its competition, and perhaps not coincidental in its timing.
By the time the Rangers started winning in the mid-1990s, international spending had been noticeably de-prioritized, with occasional exceptions. In 1999, the Reds had agreed to pay a 16-year-old Dominican righthander named Omar Beltre $300,000 to sign, but when they opted to delay the deal until 2000 for bookkeeping purposes, the Rangers swooped in and signed Beltre in February 2000 for $650,000.
Ten months later, Texas agreed to share $252 million with Alex Rodriguez.
You can imagine a probable offshoot of that decision was significant budget cuts in various other departments. Whether one of those was international scouting is uncertain, but between February 2000 (Beltre) and July 2005 (when Fabio Castillo, Cristian Santana, and Johan Yan were signed as part of the first J2 class after A.J. Preller’s and Don Welke’s arrival, for between $325,000 and $425,000 each), the only international signing for so much as $200,000 was Dominican shortstop Antonio Pena, who managed to play 132 games in four minor league seasons (.222/.323/.298) over a career that topped out with seven games at Low A Clinton.
Texas did sign Edinson Volquez (then known as Julio Reyes) in 2001, but that was more an example of excellent scouting (hat tip, Rodolfo Rosario) than any budgetary rededication to the international market. Volquez signed for $27,000.
The Castillo-Santana-Yan class has been chronicled repeatedly as a “statement” class more than anything. Maybe the Rangers overspent on those three by committing more than a combined $1 million to sign them. In retrospect, there’s no question they overspent, at least in terms of what those three Dominican prospects would develop into. But they didn’t overspend at all in terms of sending a message, to players and to buscones and to the baseball industry as a whole, that the Rangers — who had moved on from A-Rod and were beginning to refocus on player development — were back in the international game.
In 2006, Jon Daniels’s first full year as Rangers GM, Texas ramped its international spending and presence up even further, bringing in a class that July that included Wilmer Font, Wilfredo Boscan, Carlos Pimentel, Kennil Gomez, Geuris Grullon, Leonel De Los Santos, and a third baseman named Emmanuel Solis who got $525,000 to sign.
Mike Daly joined the Rangers’ international scouting department after the 2006 season, as the organization looked to beef up their efforts in Latin America even further. In July 2007, Texas paid two international teenagers more to sign than it had paid any since the February 2000 Beltre acquisition: a Dominican shortstop named Wilson Suero ($558,000) and a Venezuelan lefthander named Martin Perez ($580,000), who was widely considered the top southpaw on the international market.
Yesterday, a little over six years later, the Rangers agreed to pay Perez $1 million to sign a contract that will pay him $750,000 in 2014, $1 million in 2015, $2.9 million in 2016, $4.4 million in 2017, $6 million on a team option in 2018 ($2.45 million buyout), $7.5 million on a team option in 2019 ($750,000 buyout), and $9 million on a team option in 2020 ($250,000 buyout).
That’s over $32 million (if all options are exercised) in a deal that every single person who spends time reporting on and analyzing these things is calling a slam dunk for the team.
It’s that for the player, too. Perez will still be just 22 when camp opens in three months, and even if he pitches well enough to persuade the Rangers to make sure he’s here in 2018 and 2019 and 2020, he’ll still be short of his 30s when he has the right to venture onto the free agent market. Very few frontline starters hit free agency before age 30.
Texas made sure yesterday Perez wouldn’t be able to hit the market when he’s 27.
And that it controls Perez and Yu Darvish and Matt Harrison and Derek Holland through 2017, at least. (Unless Darvish claims that 2017 option by being elite the next few years . . . in which case we can all hope he gets re-locked up before then anyway.)
True, Perez has yet to pitch a full season in the big leagues and in fact has more minor league starts the last two years (29) than big league starts (26).
Yes, he can still be traded. (Arguably, the contract extension makes him an even more valuable commodity, not that the Rangers would be open to moving him, even in a deal for David Price or another impact pitcher or hitter.)
Sure, he could get hurt or fail to take the next step or somehow not make this deal pay off, in which case the Rangers can get out for a total of $12.5 million after the fourth year of the contract.
But nobody’s counting on that.
Without the Rangers reestablishing their presence internationally, there’s no Perez and no Darvish and no Leonys Martin and no Jurickson Profar and no Wilmer Font and no Jorge Alfaro or Rougned Odor or Luis Sardinas or Nomar Mazara or Ronald Guzman or Jairo Beras or Marcos Diplan.
Without Volquez, there’s no Josh Hamilton. Without Leury Garcia: No Alex Rios.
Faleris was writing about the Rangers’ 2013 moves internationally when he referred yesterday to Texas as “an impressive organization operating at the forefront of the talent acquisition game.” But later in the day we were reminded that it’s nothing particularly new for this franchise, and even though the reality in the Latin American market is a lot of those signings don’t end up paying off, that’s the cost of doing business in that part of the world and part of the game, and sometimes they not only do pay off — they can do so in a potentially very big way that can set up a player for life, not to mention his franchise, in many ways, for the foreseeable future.
Hillcrest had fallen twice to North Lamar in a state playoff matchup of Panthers, 7-2 on May 19 in Paris and then 12-11 on May 21 in Dallas, and with it my playing career was over.
Less than two weeks later was the 1987 MLB Draft, and while I had no delusions of my own name being on some team’s list, I remember tearing open the next issue of Baseball America to see where the best players I’d grown up playing against would get taken.
There were Duncanville righthander David Nied (Braves/14th round) and his teammate, lefthander Chris Hill (Mets/42nd), who was my BBI teammate.
Dallas Baptist second baseman Jeff Baum (Royals/38th), who I’d played against when he was at Thomas Jefferson in Dallas. W.T. White righthander Lee Jones (Padres/12th). Skyline catcher (and future Skyline coach) Herman Johnson (Braves/50th).
Texas A&M third baseman Scott Livingstone (A’s/3rd), who was responsible for the most nervous moment in my life as an athlete (he was a senior at Lake Highlands when I was a freshman at Hillcrest — he was a left-handed hitter, and that year I was a second baseman). Several picks later: Waco Midway’s Brian Lane (Reds/3rd), who was my opposing shortstop when we played them in the state playoffs my sophomore year. The Rangers took UT third baseman Scott Coolbaugh with the next pick in the third round, and would use their 17th-round pick on University of Houston outfielder Omar Brewer, who I think may have been the first former Hillcrest baseball player ever drafted.
The first round in which the robust Texas territory didn’t have a player selected that June was the eighth, a round in which nine future big leaguers would be chosen, including Sacramento High School catcher Matt Walbeck (Cubs) and Eastern Illinois University shortstop Tim Bogar (Mets), and now I remember what this report was supposed to be about.
I remember the buzz when the Rangers hired Walbeck, a journeyman ballplayer but a decorated minor league manager, to be their third base coach and catching instructor after the 2007 season. After retiring as a player with the Tigers in 2003, he went straight into coaching for Detroit, winning a Low A league title in 2004 and again in 2006, and earning BA’s nod as Midwest League Manager of the Year in 2005 and 2006. The following season, Detroit promoted him to AA, where he not only won a division title but earned BA recognition as Minor League Manager of the Year, throughout all of baseball.
Texas hired Walbeck to complete Ron Washington’s second staff, and he was more than a decade younger than every other coach on the staff. It seemed like the Rangers had a young star in the fold — perhaps a future manager.
Less than a year later, right when the 2008 season ended, the Rangers let Walbeck go, saying he and Washington “had a difficult time gelling.”
Walbeck landed with the Pirates, managing their AA Altoona club in 2009 and 2010, winning the league title that second year and earning Manager of the Year accolades. But he was fired right after the playoffs.
He then caught on with Atlanta, hired to manage the Braves’ Low A Rome affiliate. He was fired halfway into the season, and the grounds given were “philosophical differences,” a more generic but perhaps not a dissimilar basis from the “poor communication skills” and “lack of preparation” that had reportedly led to his dismissal from the Pirates organization.
Walbeck hasn’t worked in pro ball since July 2011. He runs a youth baseball program in Sacramento. He turned 44 a few weeks ago.
The meteoric rise was followed by a precipitous fall.
I’m not sure whether the Rangers were relying on Walbeck’s considerable buzz on the coaching side or if there were past relationships in play (I don’t remember reading about any), but there’s no question that Bogar arrives with both: a strong reputation and lots of history with the people he’ll be working with as the club’s new bench coach.
In 1991 and 1992, Bogar’s final two seasons in the minor leagues, Ron Washington was on the AAA Tidewater coaching staff. Bogar says now that Wash taught him how to play big league-level shortstop and “got me over the hump to become a major league player.”
As a Mets rookie in 1993, Bogar was teammates with Rangers pitching coach Mike Maddux and Special Assistant to the GM Tony Fernandez (whom he backed up at shortstop until a June trade of Fernandez to Toronto moved Bogar into the starting lineup).
He and Maddux played together in 1994, and again in 2000 with the Astros.
In 2001, Bogar’s final big league season, played alongside Adrian Beltre with both the Dodgers and AAA Las Vegas. Rangers Senior Special Assistant Don Welke was with that organization as well.
It’s safe to assume that Jon Daniels consulted Wash and Maddux and Welke and Fernandez and even Beltre about Bogar before the 46-year-old interviewed for the bench coach job earlier this month, and perhaps Tim Purpura (now reportedly in a business-side position with the organization) as well. Purpura, then Assistant GM and Farm Director for the Astros, gave Bogar his first coaching job in January 2004 (Nolan Ryan joined the Astros as a Special Assistant the next month), when the former Houston infielder was hired to manage the Astros’ short-season Greeneville club (2004) and then Low A Lexington (2005).
Rangers official Mike Daly, who will now run the day-to-day operations of the organization’s farm system, was a scout with Cleveland in 2006, when Bogar managed the Indians’ AA affiliate and was named the Eastern League’s Manager of the Year as well as the circuit’s top manager prospect by BA (the same year Walbeck was BA’s Minor League Manager of the Year).
After a season managing the Indians’ AAA club, Bogar was hired by the Rays to serve as a big league quality assurance coach. He worked in tandem with Tampa Bay manager Joe Maddon on series and game preparation, including setting defensive shifts based on spray chart analysis, and he was also asked to assist with infield instruction and spring training coordination. Bogar will handle those duties with the Rangers as well.
In that 2008 season with Tampa Bay, the Rays went from last in the AL in the “defensive efficiency” metric to first. The franchise, which had lost 90 games in each of its 10 seasons, went to the World Series that year.
The Red Sox, who fell to the Rays in a seven-game ALCS that October, hired Bogar away from Tampa Bay after the season to serve as their first base coach. Rangers hitting coach Dave Magadan was on the Red Sox staff, as was Sports Psychology Consultant Don Kalkstein. Daniels probably talked to Magadan and Kalkstein about Bogar as well.
After his first season with Boston, Bogar shifted over to third base in 2010 and 2011, but not before interviewing with the Astros in October 2009 for their manager’s job, which eventually went to Bogar’s fellow Red Sox coach Brad Mills.
In 2012, Bobby Valentine arrived in Boston and made Bogar his bench coach.
Valentine had managed Bogar with the Mets in 1996.
Before the 2013 season, John Farrell replaced Valentine and brought Torey Lovullo along from his Toronto coaching staff to serve as his bench coach in Boston. Bogar interviewed for Houston manager again, as Mills had been fired, but Houston hired Nationals third base coach Bo Porter instead.
Porter — who was Bogar’s teammate with AAA Colorado Springs in 2002 — asked Bogar to be his bench coach in 2013, but Houston, though offering Bogar a multi-year contract, insisted on an unusual clause in his deal prohibiting him from interviewing for managerial vacancies elsewhere while on the Astros staff. Bogar understandably refused to sign the contract.
He instead took a job managing the Angels’ AA club in 2013. Los Angeles GM Jerry Dipoto was Bogar’s teammate with the Mets in 1995 and 1996. Angels Assistant GM Scott Servais and Bogar played together on that 2002 Colorado Springs club as well.
The Angels reportedly wanted Bogar (who took the Travelers to the Texas League Championship Series) to join Mike Scioscia’s coaching staff for the 2014 season, perhaps coaching third base in place of Dino Ebel, who was promoted to bench coach. Read any number of Los Angeles articles from the past year and you’ll see that many believed Bogar would be the next Angels manager, whenever it is that Scioscia’s time is done.
Instead, Bogar took the Texas job. He had no connection to the Rangers organization itself, but he has ties to Washington and Maddux and Magadan, and to Welke and Daly and Purpura and Kalkstein and Fernandez, and to Adrian Beltre.
When asked what he believes makes a good bench coach, Bogar told the local media that, first and foremost, it’s about the relationship you have with the manager, understanding what the manager needs, and making the manager’s day easier. He said of Washington, who coached him up two decades ago and who he credits for making him a big leaguer: “He cared for me more as a person than as a player. That’s something I’ve tried to do as a coach.”
If there’s any fear that bringing in a new bench coach — one with a “future manager” tag in the game — could be viewed by the current manager as a threat to his job, the way Bogar talks about his past with Wash should help to dilute it.
Daniels called Bogar a great communicator and a smart baseball mind, and emphasized his preparation skills and extensive experience. He pointed out that Bogar has won as a player (in Houston), as a coach (in Tampa Bay and Boston), and as a minor league manager (everywhere he’s been).
You can say Matt Walbeck has a smart baseball mind and that he won as a minor league manager, but you’d have a hard time on the rest. You can read plenty of articles that call some of those other things into question.
In Bogar’s case, you can find plenty of stories that back up what Daniels said last week. But more importantly, as far as the Rangers are concerned, there’s a roomful of people, in uniform and not, who can vouch for Tim Bogar in ways that make the Baseball America medals little more than bullet points for his Rangers media guide bio, which ought to show up in more editions than Walbeck’s did.
I was excited about the Walbeck hire.
I’m excited about the Bogar hire — and a whole lot more comfortable with it.
The headline to this report, and the quote that leads it off, have nothing to do with Nolan Ryan’s departure.
This report started coming together in my head two weeks ago. I wrote the bulk of it the last few days. Most of it was done before the announcement came down shortly after 2:00 yesterday afternoon that Ryan was either retiring or resigning from his position as Rangers CEO.
I decided not to rewrite this entry in light of the Ryan development. For one, I didn’t want to delete nearly seven thousand words and start over. For another thing, I’m not sure how much analysis I can provide on the Ryan story. This is obviously major news, but there are layers to this story that aren’t yet clear.
And on top of that, the theme of this report is about the end of a baseball season and what lies ahead for this club, one of baseball’s best. Nolan Ryan helped make it that, and his departure doesn’t change the fact that Texas is poised to remain among the elite franchises in the game for years to come. Ryan brought an incalculable amount of credibility and identity to this organization when he re-arrived in 2008, lots of good people are with the Rangers because of him — including the formidable ownership group, and the baseball operations and business groups working alongside Ryan have ramped that credibility up even further, to the point at which the Rangers have one of the strongest, healthiest organizations, in all aspects, in the game today. That doesn’t change.
If the following seems to bury the lead, I apologize. There will be time to dive into the Ryan story later, especially as the dust starts to settle a little bit.
“If you’re not getting better, you’re getting worse.”
— Hank Haney, and a million others
Today marks the anniversary of one of the greatest games in Texas Rangers history, and of the eve of the 2011 World Series, and of 39 football seasons.
Make it 40.
There’s some work to do in Arlington.
That makes this winter no different, on a basic level, from the off-season after the 2010 World Series (Cliff Lee and Vladimir Guerrero out, Adrian Beltre and Mike Napoli in) or the off-season after the 2011 World Series (C.J. Wilson out, Yu Darvish and Joe Nathan in) or the off-season after the 2012 Wild Card loss (Josh Hamilton and Napoli and Michael Young and Mike Adams and Koji Uehara out, A.J. Pierzynski and Lance Berkman and Joakim Soria and Dave Magadan in).
Give in to nostalgia, and resist change, and in professional sports you find yourself over-extending Terence Newman and Jay Ratliff, or re-committing wistfully to Roy Tarpley, and ending up where you end up.
When Texas walked away from closer Mike Henneman after its first-ever playoff season in 1996 and signed John Wetteland, it was an obvious upgrade, but the move the following winter that sent Jim Leyritz and more to Boston for Aaron Sele and more, with Sele coming off two post-injury seasons of ERA’s over 5.00, was less of a no-brainer at the time. Doug Melvin thought it would make Texas better. He was right.
After a second playoff appearance (and second instant exit) in three years, Will Clark was out and Rafael Palmeiro was back in. Not an indictment on Clark.
A winter later, after a third playoff exit at the Yankees hands in four years, Melvin decided that moving Juan Gonzalez (who’d scoffed at the concept of an extension in the six-year, $75 million Larry Walker neighborhood) in a package to get Justin Thompson (coming off a Sele-like regression) plus kids Gabe Kapler and Francisco Cordero and versatile bat Frank Catalanotto was a change worth making. It didn’t pan out the way Texas had hoped, primarily because of Thompson’s health.
The massive changes the following off-season — buying Alex Rodriguez and tacking on Andres Galarraga, Ken Caminiti, Randy Velarde, Mark Petkovsek, and Jeff Brantley, each a decade older than the superstar shortstop, while moving on from Wetteland and Royce Clayton — were designed to make the Rangers better, as was the next winter’s forfeiture of premium draft picks to sign Chan Ho Park and 30-somethings Todd Van Poppel, Jay Powell, and Gonzalez, plus the acquisitions of John Rocker and Hideki Irabu and Dave Burba and now I’m tired of going through this exercise.
Here’s the point: Moving on from Lee and Hamilton and Napoli and Uehara, and Clark and Wetteland and Leyritz and Clayton, wasn’t necessarily a knock on any of those players. If you’re not getting better, you’re getting worse, and when you let C.J. Wilson walk so you can go all in on Yu Darvish, and when you decide not to meet your 32-year-old warrior ace’s six-year ask and instead invest in five years of Adrian Beltre, the one thing needs to be viewed in the context of the other.
You can, and should, always look to get better, whether you’re coming off three straight seasons with win totals in the low 70’s or two straight World Series appearances, and organizations that don’t do that tend to get into trouble, and not only in the short term.
“We were good. But not good enough,” said Jon Daniels about his 2013 club, in a press conference three days after it was done playing. “We’ve got to get better. . . . We’re in the middle of what we feel is a tremendous run — but we’re not satisfied. We want more. . . . One and done isn’t good enough. It’s not acceptable.”
Good. But not good enough.
Daniels added: “There’s no area of the organization where we can’t get better. And that includes me and Ron.”
It also, in Daniels’s estimation, includes the manager’s coaching staff, and part of the turnover from 2013 to 2014 — and there will be lots of turnover — has already been set in motion, as the contracts of bench coach Jackie Moore and first base coach Dave Anderson were not renewed.
The dismissal of Moore generated the bigger media reaction, in large part because of raw comments nearly instantly attributed by some to the 74-year-old (though refuted elsewhere) in which he reportedly said he believed he was fired because he was “a Nolan guy.”
I love Yu Darvish, but I would trade him for Clayton Kershaw.
I can’t wait to see what’s next for Leonys Martin, but if I could get Mike Trout or Andrew McCutchen I’d be happy to see Martin take that next step in an Angels or Pirates uniform.
Adrian Beltre is my favorite Ranger ever, but offer me Manny Machado for him, and I’ll tee up an extremely lengthy Beltre retrospective and move on.
Chuck Morgan . . . well, no, Chuck Morgan is untouchable.
But Elvis Andrus or Ian Kinsler or Jurickson Profar or Derek Holland or Martin Perez or Tanner Scheppers or Rougned Odor or Luke Jackson or Joey Gallo or Lewis Brinson: If the front office believes moving them helps the Rangers get better, I’d prefer that they follow their evaluations and the output of their internal discussions than lean on nostalgia and what might be more popular in the clubhouse or with the fan base.
Is it fair to assume that the Rangers deciding they needed to get better at the bench coach spot doesn’t necessarily mean they believed Moore couldn’t do the job any more?
When Texas let Wetteland go after the 2000 season, opting instead to turn the ninth inning over to 28-year-old Jeff Zimmerman, with the 25-year-old Cordero being groomed for the role, it wasn’t necessarily because the club felt the 34-year-old Wetteland was no longer capable of getting hitters out with the game on the line.
It was because the Rangers thought they could get better.
Moore is 74. He wasn’t in a Rangers uniform when Texas was awarded a Major League franchise, but he was here the season after that, coaching first and third base for managers Whitey Herzog and Billy Martin and Frank Lucchesi from 1973 through 1976.
That’s 40 years ago.
Jackie Moore was a Texas Ranger coach the year before Jim Sundberg and Mike Hargrove debuted as big league baseball players.
It’s a grind. Moore wasn’t going to coach forever, just as Wetteland wasn’t going to close games forever and just as the Rangers believed Hamilton was unlikely to continue producing the way another team was prepared to pay him to produce.
Nolan guy or JD guy — or Rangers guy (David Murphy?) — sometimes the call upstairs is simply that you can get better by making a change. That’s the front office’s job. It’s not a PR decision; it’s the exact thing the baseball operations group is responsible for. “We’re a successful business,” Daniels noted at the season-ending presser. “We have to make tough decisions to get to that level and to stay there. Ultimately we’re accountable for the success and failure of the organization.”
At the same gathering, Ron Washington tipped his cap to Moore and Anderson, acknowledging that things like this happen in the game and you move forward. He echoed the importance of trying to get better, and in doing so said he expects their replacements to be “strong coaches, will-wise and preparation-wise.” Daniels, who said the idea any time the franchise is looking to add coaches or officials is to find “smart, strong people who share our vision,” defined the profile for the ideal bench coach as someone who is prepared, who brings energy, who is positive with the players. Someone who helps the manager think a batter ahead. An inning ahead. A game ahead.
Maybe Moore is really good at all of those things.
But maybe there’s someone out there who could be better for what this particular Rangers team needs, in this stage of its evolution, a baseball franchise that has reached a certain level of success and faces the natural and formidable challenge of trying to stay there, and to exceed it.
Darvish/Kershaw. Martin/McCutchen. Loui Eriksson and prospects for Tyler Seguin.
You never stop looking for ways to get better.
According to Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News, there was an effort of some sort to replace Moore as bench coach a year ago, which became a “source of tension in management” that ended up resulting in no change. Grant adds that Washington has “improved in all areas [since being hired to manage the Rangers], but [in-game] strategy remains a weakness.”
In two straight seasons in which one or two more wins would have been huge, it’s impossible for anyone outside the dugout to say whether the greatest bench coach in baseball would have made that sort of difference, but you look for every edge you can get, and the role takes on an added strategic responsibility in 2014 with the advent of on-the-spot instant replay decisions from the dugout.
There were many years when the Rangers’ offensive firepower was such that any deficiencies in game tactics on that side of the ball might have been camouflaged. Not so much any more. Texas scored 730 runs in 2013. The last time they’d scored fewer than 784 runs was in 1995. It’s been a long time since manufacturing runs, since exploiting every possible opportunity and creating some that might not have otherwise been there, has taken on this much importance in Texas.
Wash can be better, just like Darvish and Andrus and Perez can be better. A good bench coach can make his manager better at what he does.
I’m not sure Jackie Moore didn’t do everything a good bench coach can do and I’d bet he did help to make Wash a better manager over the years — it’s a difficult thing to judge as a fan — but clearly the General Manager felt a change there could make the baseball team more likely to succeed. Moore’s been a force in this game — after the 1973-76 run with the club, Pat Corrales wanted him back in Texas in 1980, he had a three-season run (1984-86) managing the A’s, Kevin Kennedy brought him in as his Rangers bench coach in 1993-94, and he was brought in to serve as Wash’s right-hand man in place of Art Howe from 2009 through this year.
But to say that this is a “what have you done for me lately?” business is probably not quite accurate. It’s more about “what are you likely to do for me tomorrow?”
Unless you think Moore is the best bench coach in the game (is Darvish the best pitcher? is Beltre the best player?), don’t you have to evaluate possible opportunities to get better, assuming the objective is to win?
Get better, or get worse.
* * * *
Changes were already afoot in Arlington well before Thursday’s announcement that Ryan would be leaving. Senior Director of Player Development Tim Purpura is reportedly being reassigned to a different position, perhaps on the business side, while Senior Director of Player Personnel A.J. Preller, whose primary responsibility had been the supervision of the club’s pro, international, and amateur scouting efforts, is expected to assume some aspects of Purpura’s player development role, with longtime Director of International Scouting Mike Daly shifting into a new stateside role in which he’ll be responsible for the day-to-day operations of the Rangers’ farm system, reporting directly to Preller. The baseball operations group has already signed free-agent-to-be Jason Frasor to a 2014 contract, claimed 25-year-old lefthander Edwar Cabrera (a changeup artist who led all of minor league baseball in strikeouts in 2011 but missed this season with a shoulder injury) off waivers from the Rockies, and reportedly inked 27-year-old lefthander Aaron Poreda (a former top prospect who also missed 2013 with shoulder issues) to a non-roster deal.
Daniels has said he’d like to have the coaching staff built back up before the November 11-13 GM/Owners Meetings in Orlando. Presumably there are only two openings to fill, but the annual rumors of Mike Maddux as someone else’s managerial candidate have resurfaced, particularly in light of the Cubs’ vacancy, which comes two years after Maddux last interviewed with that club and the Red Sox before withdrawing from consideration in each case, citing family priorities. ESPN Chicago suggested Maddux is “more interested” in the Chicago job now than he was in 2011 (adding that Rangers Special Assistant to the GM Greg Maddux could be a candidate as well), while the Chicago Sun-Times suggests the Texas pitching coach may not be on the Cubs’ short list this time around.
As for the coaching staff here, the one internal name that’s been mentioned in the press has been Frisco manager Steve Buechele, though it appears that his candidacy might be more for the first base coach/infield instructor role that Anderson filled. The club’s primary bench coach candidates, according to local reports, are Angels minor league manager Tim Bogar and Cubs bench coach Jamie Quirk, who have reportedly each interviewed for the position already, and former big league managers Jim Tracy and Sam Perlozzo.
Coaching in the big leagues is an itinerant life. The good ones, while they don’t stay in one place forever, don’t stay out of work very long. If Moore wants to stay in the game, he’ll be able to. (The Astros let first base coach Dave Clark go last week — could they consider moving bench coach Eduardo Perez into that role and bringing Moore in as manager Bo Porter’s right-hand man?) Some in the media have suggested Anderson could land on the staff of one of two of his former Dodgers teammates: Angels manager Mike Scioscia or Diamondbacks skipper Kirk Gibson. (Anderson also worked as a manager and coordinator in the Rangers farm system during Angels Assistant GM Scott Servais’s time as a player development official with Texas.)
When Texas hired Washington seven years ago, he won the job over Manny Acta, Don Wakamatsu, Trey Hillman, and John Russell. None of the five had managed in the big leagues.
Since then, Acta has managed the Nationals and Indians and is reportedly interviewing for the open Cubs job.
Wakamatsu (the former Rangers bench coach and the third base coach on Washington’s first Rangers staff) has since managed the Mariners, and served as bench coach for the A’s and Blue Jays, and is currently a special assignment scout for the Yankees (based, according to his LinkedIn account, in the Metroplex).
Hillman has managed the Royals and now serves as Don Mattingly’s bench coach with the Dodgers.
Russell has managed the Pirates and served in several different capacities on Buck Showalter’s coaching staff in Baltimore, currently as bench coach.
Moore may or may not have another big league job in his future, Anderson very likely will, and the odds are that at least one of Ron Washington’s new coaches in 2014 will have worked somewhere else in the big leagues before.
One other name speculated as a potential addition to Scioscia’s staff in Los Angeles is Angels roving infield instructor Omar Vizquel, and when you think about the things the Rangers have talked about looking for — smart, strong personalities who bring positive energy — plus Vizquel’s history with Washington and the organization and the fact that Anderson had been the club’s infield instructor, there might not be an obvious fit for Vizquel given the current makeup of the staff but his is a name possibly worth tucking away.
I’d love to have him around Jurickson Profar for the next few years. And not for infield technique.
* * * *
While some of the changes Texas needs to make are obvious, the one that seems headed for some sort of unpredictable resolution involves Profar, whose 2013 season was uneven in every sense.
I had this idea a couple weeks ago to compare Profar’s first full season in the big leagues to that of his manager’s, as a follow-up of sorts to a report I wrote in August 2012 shortly before Profar’s call-up to Texas. Both broke in as utility players who saw time at shortstop, second base, and third right away . . . but that’s where the comparison hits the wall.
Washington was 30 in his first full season in the Major Leagues. Profar was 20.
Washington had been a journeyman minor leaguer, Profar the consensus number one prospect in the game.
Washington would play another seven years in the bigs, never starting 80 games and never sticking at just one defensive position.
Profar will have had a lengthier big league career by time he’s the age Washington was in his first full Twins season, and there will be many seasons in which he plays just one position, and do it more than 150 times.
The effort to figure out what that position will be, and how the team will open it up for the young switch-hitter, has to be among the organization’s top priorities this winter.
Maybe it’s second base, with Kinsler moving to first base or left field or another team.
Maybe it’s shortstop, with Andrus being traded for an impact return.
Maybe it’s shortstop in a different uniform himself.
Because Kinsler is 31 and coming off a disappointing season and because his offense has less value on a corner than it does at second base, and because Andrus is probably more valuable to the extended window here than he would be as a trade piece, the signs seem to point to a trade of Profar (perhaps in a deal for David Price or Giancarlo Stanton or another young player like St. Louis outfielder Oscar Taveras). But the tricky part about that is you can’t functionally pay Yankee or Dodger salaries at every position, and players like Profar and Perez and Scheppers help you afford to spend elsewhere, whether in December or July.
The conversation on how to best resolve the crowded middle infield situation — how to use that surplus (especially with Odor and Luis Sardinas getting closer) to address at least one weakness — is a complicated one, and I’m glad the Rangers have the folks they do in charge as they get to work on creating a more defined situation up the middle in 2014 than they had this season.
Profar’s signature moment in 2013 came in his penultimate at-bat, a bad-ass bookend paired with his first big league at bat in 2012 that together highlight what’s otherwise been a bit of a letdown debut. Profar’s a .644-OPS hitter in his first two years in Texas — getting a healthy number of at-bats but doing so while being bounced all over the field with a team expecting to win every night — but there’s not going to be a Mike Trout or Bryce Harper every year, or every decade, and when Ron Washington was Profar’s age he was putting in his first of three years at the Class A level, and his second of what would be 15 seasons as a minor league baseball player.
There’s not really any valid comparison between the two, and if the Rangers’ key decision-makers sort the middle infield situation out this winter, in one way or another, Washington and Profar could help put each other in a better position to succeed in 2014.
* * * *
After his walkoff blast to end Game 160, running the Rangers’ win streak in must-have games to five, Profar pinch-hit for Jeff Baker in Game 161 and sat for all of Game 162 and Game 163.
That last one, that painfully slow three-hour finale that ended with Tampa Bay 5, Texas 2 burned into the scoreboard, felt much worse than that for most of the game. Still, after a day or two of decompression, I didn’t feel as awful about the end as I did during the hour or so that I sat in my seat after the final out, until the usher came by and broke the news gently that it was probably time to take that last walk out of the stadium for the year. Two reasons: The way Texas battled over the final week to force a Game 163 was a reminder of why we invest ourselves in this thing the way we do. And frankly, all things considered, to have squeezed out 91 wins despite all the reasons that club shouldn’t have been able to do so was a pretty remarkable thing, and to fall one game short of October, with a rookie pitcher who retired 15 of the last 17 Rays he faced going up against one of the game’s true aces, on a night when that ace pitched like an ace, I was OK with it after the immediate gut punch had passed.
It all resonated even further when I saw Rays manager Joe Maddon tweet, shortly after Tampa Bay was eliminated by the Red Sox a week later in the ALDS, three games to one: “Very proud of our guys and our fans. I think we played to our potential. We took it about as far as we could go. Boston just beat us.”
Those two middle sentences made me think of the 2013 Rangers.
Consider the following:
* The club’s Opening Day starter, Matt Harrison, made two starts — one fewer than Ross Wolf, who started the season as a 30-year-old middle reliever in the Frisco bullpen.
* The only pitch Colby Lewis threw off a big league mound all year was ceremonial.
* Starter Alexi Ogando landed on the disabled list in May. And again in June. And again in August.
* One result of the above was that rookie pitchers started 54 games, basically one-third of the Rangers’ schedule.
* And it would have been more, had Perez not missed the first two months with a broken arm.
* Neftali Feliz would pitch 4.2 innings all year, none before September.
* The Rangers’ 2012 minor league player of the year and pitcher of the year, Mike Olt and Cody Buckel, came into 2013 as legitimate candidates to contribute, and didn’t.
* Texas hit .249/.324/.367 with runners in scoring position.
* In spite of an exceptionally good bullpen, the Rangers went an MLB-worst 3-9 in extra innings.
* On a club that needed to rely more on speed and moving runners and baserunning in general, there were stretches in which the offense clearly tried to force things and ended up creating a vulgar number of reckless outs on the bases. (Ryan would say, “I don’t think we analyzed risk well” on the bases; Washington praised the aggressive mindset but would suggest, “We have to get smarter. Players have to make the right decisions.”)
* Needing big years out of Mitch Moreland and Murphy on the heels of the loss of Hamilton’s left-handed production, the Rangers got a regression from Moreland and a career-worst season out of Murphy, coming off his breakout 2012 and in a contract year.
* Kinsler, coming off his worst season offensively, basically duplicated it.
* Lance Berkman.
* Andrus was one of the least productive everyday hitters in baseball in the first half.
* Nelson Cruz, one of the only hitters on the team who was stepping up big from the previous year, was suspended for the final third of the season.
* After a monster July and a monster August, Beltre’s flat tires caught up to him and he had nothing left in September.
* Texas started that critical final month with a two-game lead in the West, and promptly lost 15 of 20.
Spell all that out for me in March and I’d have been hesitant to bet on a winning record.
And Texas won 91 times. That number is almost always good for 162+.
Which, of course, it was, in a way. Not quite the way we’d hoped, but ignore the crazy-hot streaks and the brutally bad one in September, look not at the season’s chutes and ladders but instead at the final result, and you could take Maddon’s quote and say Texas too took 2013 about as far as it could go and played to its potential.
Really, though, the Rangers probably outplayed their hand. I’m a believer in the Bill Parcells mantra that you are what your record says you are, but given the adversity pile-on that this team was confronted with in 2013, it’s hard to deny that the Rangers did more with what they had than they probably should have. In the end, maybe Wash got more out of the team this year than ever. Maybe they were actually overachievers.
And that’s a big part of why, after getting away from the day-to-day urgency of the season’s final push, I’m not that broken up about how it all turned out, and in fact feel pretty good about 2013. This isn’t the NBA or NHL, where more teams make the playoffs than don’t. It’s extremely rare for baseball franchises to avoid an occasional bad year — half the teams that reached the post-season in 2012 didn’t this year — and the Rangers have been extraordinarily consistent. They’re the only club with 87 wins in each of the last five seasons, the only one along with the Rays with 90 in each of the last four. San Francisco, defending its World Series title, went 76-86 in 2013.
If it weren’t for the brutal start to the final month, Ron Washington (370 victories) would be the winningest manager in baseball since 2010. As it stands, he trails only Joe Girardi (372) — whose Yankees missed the playoffs this year — and is tied with Atlanta’s Fredi Gonzalez, who hasn’t won a playoff series in that time.
The Rangers won more regular season games this year than they did in 2010, the first World Series season, or in 1996 or 1998, the franchise’s first two playoff seasons. And they did it in spite of a stack of challenges that realistically should have made 2013 one of those seasons you write off early in September while starting to evaluate ways to right the ship the next year.
* * * *
When Texas overachieved in 2004, winning 89 games and staying in the race until the final week of the season, John Hart and Buck Showalter spent the ensuing winter preaching “managed expectations” to the media and fan base. That’s not going to be this winter’s mission statement.
Cruz and Murphy are free agents, as are catchers A.J. Pierzynski and Geovany Soto. Nathan is likely to void his club option and take advantage of free agency, the Rangers will buy Berkman out, and they’ve already dropped free-agent-to-be Jeff Baker from the roster. Matt Garza will hit the market, and Michael Young also comes off the books for Texas.
While some could come back (Frasor returns, I’d bet Colby Lewis will as well, and at least Cruz [a near-certainty to get a $14.1 million qualifying offer from the Rangers just after the World Series] and Nathan and maybe a catcher are good bets to be considered), most probably won’t. But the roster rebuild won’t look like 2005’s, when Texas went out and signed Richard Hidalgo, Mark DeRosa, Sandy Alomar, and Greg Colbrunn (en route to a 79-win season). The Rangers will look to impact the core of the roster this winter. Cabrera and Poreda will go into camp in agate type.
Get ready for lots of stories about free agents like catcher Brian McCann (Danny Knobler of CBS Sports reports Texas had “attempted to acquire him via trade multiple times and have had scouts following him closely,” while Ken Rosenthal of Fox Sports says the Rangers “have asked about him at least twice since the end of last season”), second baseman Robinson Cano (while the likelihood is he stays with the Yankees, Joel Sherman of the New York Post suggests “the team to watch is the Rangers,” who could then move Kinsler to a new position and trade Profar to the Rays in a deal to get Price), outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury (Rosenthal: the Rangers “have inquired on Ellsbury ‘a fair amount,’” including in July 2012 trade discussions that also involved righthander Josh Beckett), outfielder Shin-Soo Choo, outfielder Curtis Granderson, first baseman/DH Kendrys Morales, and two Boston free agents with a history in Texas: first baseman Mike Napoli and catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia.
Then there are international free agents like 26-year-old Cuban first baseman Jose Dariel Abreu (overnight stories suggest the White Sox have agreed to terms with Abreu, after reports that the Rangers had made a late push), 26-year-old Cuban second baseman Alex Guerrero (whose five-year, $32 million deal with the Dodgers fell apart in September), and 24-year-old Japanese righthander Masahiro Tanaka (who is expected to be posted this winter by the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles on the heels of what is now a 25-0, 1.23 season, including the playoffs – Gerry Fraley of the Dallas Morning News reports that the Rangers had a representative at every one of his first 23 starts, at least).
And, as has been the case for a few years now, the Rangers will be rumored to be in on every impact trade piece presumed to be available, from Price (Dan Szymborski of ESPN suggests a Texas package including the second baseman Odor, third baseman Gallo, and righthander Connor Sadzeck, which seems too light to me, especially since the Dodgers, Cubs, Indians, and other clubs deep in prospects will be in the mix as well — you’d think Profar would have to be involved, plus Jackson if not Perez) to Colorado outfielder Carlos Gonzalez to Detroit righthander Max Scherzer (Knobler imagines a scenario in which the Tigers shop him this winter, with the Rangers, Nationals, and Cardinals as possible matches) to Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp (Peter Gammons of MLB Network reports that the Rangers, Red Sox, and Yankees scouted him in September) to Philadelphia lefthander Cliff Lee (Jim Bowden of ESPN/XM writes: “I blame Phillies GM Ruben Amaro [for not trading Lee to the Rangers or Angels in July] . . . . [Texas was] willing to hand over a strong package of prospects that would have helped create a fast way for the Phillies to rebuild. . . . A few upgrades from [the package Texas traded to the Cubs for Garza] and the Phillies would have been on their way to rebuilding.”).
The Rangers are strong, and set up to stay that way. In an ESPN “Future Power Rankings” piece, Bowden and Olney and Keith Law recently ranked Texas as baseball’s number three club (behind St. Louis and Boston) in terms of how well it’s positioned for sustained success over the next five years, using big league players, minor league prospects, financial muscle, management strength, and contract mobility as measuring sticks. Oakland was number 12, Seattle 21, Houston 22, and the Angels 26.
Texas remains deep in prospects (there’s only one I’d make virtually untouchable, and that’s catcher Jorge Alfaro, who may not even be ranked in the club’s top five this winter), has an ownership group hungry to win, is getting closer to big TV money, and has consistently demonstrated an aggressive approach in the talent acquisition department. These are the days when we can expect every big name free agent chase and every provocative trade rumor to involve the Rangers, and that’s a good place to be.
In fact, Olney managed to highlight the organization’s potential presence on the trade market and in the international and conventional free agent markets (despite suggestions that the club doesn’t plan to increase its payroll) in fewer than a couple dozen words yesterday, tweeting: “A lot of rival evaluators believe [the] Rangers are going to be really, really aggressive this winter, pursuing Price, Tanaka, McCann, etc.”
Even if you don’t recall the Dave Rozema/Burt Hooton winter of 1984, you probably remember Hidalgo-DeRosa-Alomar-Colbrunn 20 years after that. Yet both seem like generations ago.
* * * *
We talked above about the GM/Owners Meetings that will take place November 11-13 in Orlando. Lots of groundwork that we won’t hear about will be laid those three days, but there will also be a very public and very important development on the Wednesday that closes that gathering.
That’s the day on which the BBWAA announces the Cy Young Award results in each league.
If you’ve read this newsletter for any length of time, you know I have zero interest in individual player awards and the All-Star vote and Hall of Fame debates. But the AL Cy Young results should be squarely on any Rangers fan’s radar.
Darvish isn’t going to win the award, but where he finishes in the vote matters. When he signed his six-year, $56 million deal with Texas before the 2012 season, the sixth year (2017) was contracted to convert to a player option in the event that Darvish, by 2016, either (1) wins the Cy Young at least once and finishes second, third, or fourth in another season or (2) finishes second once in that timeframe and second, third, or fourth two other times. In other words, if Darvish satisfies one of the two conditions, his six-year deal will turn into five years, and Texas will have to compete with the league to keep him for his age 30 season and longer.
Darvish finished ninth in the AL vote in 2012. He’s not going to finish first this year, but could end up in the top four. His competition is probably Scherzer, Chris Sale, Hisashi Iwakuma, Anibal Sanchez, Felix Hernandez, and Bartolo Colon.
Pitcher wins are fairly meaningless, but it does still sway certain segments of the voter pool, and if the upshot of Darvish’s 13-win season (the fewest victories of the 19 pitchers in the last 75 years to put up an ERA under 3.00, an opponents’ batting average under .200, and more than 250 strikeouts, all of which he accomplished despite battling lower back issues for more than a month at year’s end) is that at least four American League pitchers finish higher in the Cy Young vote, then I’m good with that.
The dude’s a monster. A number one starter. An assassin who will become an even better shot with time. He can improve, and I’m pretty sure he will.
But I’m hoping he finishes fifth in the only individual award I can remember ever paying much attention to.
* * * *
The following message is for the 10 percent of you who tend to buy the Bound Edition of the Newberg Report, the season-ending book I’ve published every year since 1999.
I’m not going to write a book this winter.
It wasn’t an easy decision, and I apologize to those of you who were counting on a new edition this winter. There were family and work issues this year that kept me from devoting the type of time that I know I need to put in during the season in order to be ready to hit overdrive in October and November and get the book done by early December. I told myself that if the Rangers reached the ALCS, I would have done what it took to get the book done. When that didn’t happen, my decision was made: there will be no 2014 Bound Edition.
(Last year’s book deal put a sour taste in my mouth as well, as for the first time in 14 years of writing the book, I took a loss on the project in spite of healthy sales. Given the hundreds of hours involved, hours that could instead be spent on family or exercise or sleep, I’m not interested in going through that effort again if it ends up unprofitable, or worse.)
I expect that there will be more Bound Editions to come (I can always go back to self-publishing), maybe as soon as a year from now. But I’m going to spend these next couple months getting back on a decent workout schedule, watching more “Breaking Bad” with Ginger, and finishing that Adrian Beltre painting I started a year ago for our son.
To Devin and Marty and those of you who have provided photography, and to those of you who have bought the books in the past, or planned to this year, thank you.
* * * *
Which reminds me: I have yet to thank Scott Lucas for another extraordinary year of minor league coverage. There’s just nobody like Scott out there providing the type of insightful, tireless, daily information on any one farm system like we’re all treated to as Rangers fans.
Thank you, brother.
* * * *
What you can expect from me now, as the baseball season nears its finale without the Rangers and heads into Hot Stove season, is a lot of talk about the changes in store for this club. Daniels has talked about getting back to the franchise’s roots, reemphasizing scouting and player development and focusing (to the exclusion of other distractions) on making sound baseball decisions to keep this baseball team in perennial contention for 162+. Baseball operations meetings got underway last week in Arizona, the downside to which, Daniels noted, is it means you’re not playing anymore. The upside is that it gives the Rangers a head start on what’s going to be a very important off-season filled with impact baseball changes.
But don’t expect it to play out predictably.
Cliff Lee was going to be a Yankee.
Yu Darvish was going to be a Blue Jay.
Adrian Beltre was going to be an Angel.
Alex Rios, and breadbaskets.
There will be change. That much, and only that much, is certain.
Ryan, days before announcing his retirement, said: “I think this is going to be the most challenging off-season since I’ve been here. There are a lot of tough decisions to make and a lot of challenges to filling the positions we need to fill.”
He was, and is, right about that. Expectations remain high.
I’m not in favor of any other kind.
* * * *
The last four seasons have ended very differently. Four straight disappointments, but none that were alike.
There was the World Series loss in 2010, a disappointment from the standpoint that the Giants seemed beatable and Cliff Lee, after three brilliant starts in the ALDS and ALCS, lost twice to San Francisco while the bats fell asleep (.190/.259/.288 for the series). A magical run ran out of gas right at the end.
There was the devastating World Series loss in 2011, one that I can’t even consider detailing here, even a little bit.
There was the brutal collapse over the final week in 2012 that resulted in Texas limping lifelessly into the Wild Card Game, and falling to Baltimore without much fight.
There was 2013, a season in which the Rangers should have been cold-cocked by an epidemic of starting pitcher injuries, a regular inability to take advantage of scoring opportunities, awful seasons by the left-handed hitters being counted on to help mitigate the loss of Josh Hamilton, a staggering suspension, and 15 losses out of 20 to start the season’s final month. A spirited run at the end to claw out of a corner led to a Game 163 in which Texas was beaten by an equally hot club and its legitimate ace.
Four disappointments in a row.
But none like the annual disappointments we were used to as fans before this age of Rangers baseball.
Rangers baseball is not getting worse. It’s gotten better.
* * * *
The morning after the Rangers season ended, after Tampa Bay 5, Texas 2 resulted in 91-72 and an early off-season, I got sick. For me, real sick. I was sidelined by a two-week run of bronchitis that came out of nowhere and started receding only a few days ago.
Maybe it was a big pile-on. One of those bad-things-come-in-threes deals. (I’m counting the bronchitis bout as two.)
Maybe, like Ginger said, it was a predictable health crash after all that baseball adrenaline was gone.
Or maybe I just got sick. It happens. Sometimes you get worse.
And then, when it seems as bad as you can imagine, maybe you get even worse still.
Then you deal with it. You diagnose it, you handle it, you regroup and you rebound and you recover.
I got better. I didn’t feel like I would for a while, all those bleak and lousy days, but I did.
With a little patience, and a little resolve, that happens too.
I’ll have my report on the end of the Rangers’ season in the next few days. Still need a little time on that.
In the meantime, Rangers PA Man Chuck Morgan wanted me to send this note to you guys.
To all Texas Rangers fans….
First, we can’t thank you enough. Over the last 30 years, I have probably spent way too much time reading columns, listening to talk shows, etc. and taking the comments about our attendance way too personal. That’s just one of my faults, but 99% of the time, its because I don’t think Rangers fans get enough credit.
Many of you know, I worked here when we were happy to get 1.5 million in attendance. And many of you have read this type of thing from me before, but for this franchise to draw 2 million plus for the many years that we did, without a trip to the postseason and some years finishing either next to last or last in the division, sent a huge message to me. A message that I mentioned to every owner from Mr. Chiles to members of the current ownership, “this is a sleeping giant.” And it is. Our area is a great sports area.
This year, 3 million plus for the second year in row. 2nd in the American League in attendance, 2nd in the American League in average attendance. 40,000 in the ballpark on Sunday for an afternoon game with the Dallas Cowboys on TV. Some of you, like me, have watched for years on our Sunday afternoon games, when we were lucky to get 15,000 in the ballpark when the Cowboys were on TV and then when the Cowboys would score or make an interception the crowd noise would be louder for that moment than for something happening in the baseball game. I didn’t hear that on Sunday. Then, 42,000 in our ballpark on Monday for a game that wasn’t scheduled — in about 24 hours, our ticket office did a great job in selling 25,000 tickets. Two things: most franchises couldn’t do that, tip of the cap to our folks in the ticket office. Secondly, I’m not sure most fan bases would respond to buy tickets for that game like our fans did.
We are an attendance story because our fans responded 3 million strong for the second year in a row…our attendance was ahead of Philadelphia, Detroit, Los Angeles Angels, the Cubs and the Atlanta Braves to name a few. But some media outlets chose to focus on those that weren’t here on Sunday and Monday. Posting pictures of our upper deck in left field and some empty seats…would it have been nice to have a full house on Sunday and Monday? Sure, but with the Cowboys on TV, I will take 40,000 on Sunday. Monday? As I said earlier, tough to turn that many tickets around in 24 hours for a game that you and I didn’t know about until 5 pm Sunday afternoon.
I, and I am sure I am not alone, all of the folks that I am proud to work with, focus on thanking you for your support of the Rangers this year. The negative attendance stories are in other baseball markets, not here….were we a little down, yeah, but 2012 was the greatest attendance year in Texas Rangers history….
But again, we can’t thank you enough for your support. We will do all we can to make sure your trips to the ballpark are something special….taking care of your memories is something that I and everyone else here take very seriously. I learned at an early age at Sportsman’s Park/Busch Stadium in St. Louis and it still beats in my heart on a daily basis…there is nothing like the power and glory of baseball and the promise of an endless summer.